Natural gas markets have pulled back a bit during the trading session on Friday but continue to see plenty of volatility in both directions.
Natural Gas continues to be very noisy, as we initially pulled back during the trading session on Friday, only to turn around and show signs of strength again. By doing so, the market looks as if it is trying to figure out what to do with this consolidation area, which makes quite a bit of sense considering we had been so oversold previously. The 50 Day EMA has sloped lower yet again and it looks like we are ready to go forward looking at that as a potential resistance barrier.
If we break down below the bottom of the range for the Friday session, it’s likely that we see further downward pressure. If we break down below the $6.45 level, then the 200 Day EMA gets targeted. That is near the $5.85 level, and going sideways. That would attract a lot of attention, and I think it’s probably only a matter of time before we see that area not only get tested but show signs of life.
That being said, we no longer have to worry about the European Union taking a huge portion of the US gas supplies, because quite frankly the United States is not going to be able to provide it. Ultimately, if we break above the 50 Day EMA, then we could go looking to the $7.50 level, possibly even the $8.00 level. That being said, I don’t necessarily think we are about to see that unless of course, something changes quite drastically. At this point, the US dollar also works against the value of natural gas as well. If we are going to have a massive slow down economically, that also means that we should have less demand as well.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.