Netflix, Inc. stock (NFLX) broke out of a bull flag pattern a couple weeks ago, concurrent with reclaiming the 100-day moving average. Each signal reflects strengthening momentum and supports the case for a second leg up following the sharp advance that began from the February trend low of $75.01. As a dominant streaming platform, Netflix continues to benefit from pricing power, ad tier growth, and a disciplined content strategy, reinforcing its position as a core market leader. The stock began its rally in late February after it backed away from the Warner Bros. Discovery bidding war.
The recent low in NFLX completed a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of a prior upswing, a level that often signals a deeper corrective phase nearing exhaustion. That increased the likelihood that signs of support would attract buyers. A sharp bullish reversal on February 25 led to a 33.6% advance to $100.19, which completed a 50% retracement of a prior downswing and established a lower swing high that later defined the upper boundary of the flag formation.
An initial upside target zone for the stock is suggested around the convergence of several indicators from $105.77 to around $106.45. There is a falling trendline that crosses that zone, originating near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $105.77 and a structure high of $106.45 from mid-February. In addition, the long-term downtrend line also converges within the same price area, reinforcing it as a key resistance zone.
Nevertheless, a measured move objective derived from the flag pattern shows potential upside to around $118.60. If reached, NFLX would have exceeded another notable resistance zone from $114.13 to $114.47. This range is derived from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and prior support swing low, respectively.
NFLX signaled its intention to go higher after triggering a rally above the March high of $100.19. Although the breakout did not confirm with a daily close above that level, underlying strength in the pattern keeps the bullish continuation scenario intact. Traders will be watching for the first pullback following the bull flag breakout as a potential entry opportunity near support, aligning with the broader theme of strengthening momentum introduced at the outset.
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With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, Bruce is a seasoned finance MBA and CMT® charter holder. Having worked as head of trading strategy at hedge funds and a corporate advisor for trading firms, Bruce shares his expertise in futures to retail investors, providing actionable insights through both technical and fundamental analyses.