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Netflix (NFLX) Price Forecast: Breakout Strength Signals Continued Upside Potential

By
Bruce Powers
Published: Apr 7, 2026, 20:41 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Bull flag breakout confirms strengthening upside momentum
  • Reclaimed 100-day moving average reinforces trend shift
  • Fibonacci support at 78.6% triggered bullish reversal
  • Key resistance zone seen near $105.77–$106.45
  • Measured move projects upside toward $118.60

Breakout Strength and Momentum Shift

Netflix, Inc. stock (NFLX) broke out of a bull flag pattern a couple weeks ago, concurrent with reclaiming the 100-day moving average. Each signal reflects strengthening momentum and supports the case for a second leg up following the sharp advance that began from the February trend low of $75.01. As a dominant streaming platform, Netflix continues to benefit from pricing power, ad tier growth, and a disciplined content strategy, reinforcing its position as a core market leader. The stock began its rally in late February after it backed away from the Warner Bros. Discovery bidding war.

NFLX daily chart shows bull flag breakout and recovery of key moving averages. Source: TradingView

Fibonacci Support Signals Reversal Potential

The recent low in NFLX completed a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of a prior upswing, a level that often signals a deeper corrective phase nearing exhaustion. That increased the likelihood that signs of support would attract buyers. A sharp bullish reversal on February 25 led to a 33.6% advance to $100.19, which completed a 50% retracement of a prior downswing and established a lower swing high that later defined the upper boundary of the flag formation.

NFLX weekly chart shows long-term trend. Source: TradingView

Resistance Confluence Near Key Levels

An initial upside target zone for the stock is suggested around the convergence of several indicators from $105.77 to around $106.45. There is a falling trendline that crosses that zone, originating near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $105.77 and a structure high of $106.45 from mid-February. In addition, the long-term downtrend line also converges within the same price area, reinforcing it as a key resistance zone.

Measured Move Points to Higher Range

Nevertheless, a measured move objective derived from the flag pattern shows potential upside to around $118.60. If reached, NFLX would have exceeded another notable resistance zone from $114.13 to $114.47. This range is derived from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and prior support swing low, respectively.

Pullback Strategy Within Bullish Structure

NFLX signaled its intention to go higher after triggering a rally above the March high of $100.19. Although the breakout did not confirm with a daily close above that level, underlying strength in the pattern keeps the bullish continuation scenario intact. Traders will be watching for the first pullback following the bull flag breakout as a potential entry opportunity near support, aligning with the broader theme of strengthening momentum introduced at the outset.

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About the Author

With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, Bruce is a seasoned finance MBA and CMT® charter holder. Having worked as head of trading strategy at hedge funds and a corporate advisor for trading firms, Bruce shares his expertise in futures to retail investors, providing actionable insights through both technical and fundamental analyses.

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