The Asian indices all looked very noisy in the first few hours of trading for the week, as we are reacting to the lack of agreement during the Islamabad talks have concluded without further movement towards peace.
The Nikkei 225 in Tokyo rallied a bit during the early part of Monday. It did give back some of the gains, though, but ultimately showed signs of consolidation where we sit near the 56,400-yen level.
Short-term pullbacks are possible and, for that matter, even likely, but I would look at the 50-day EMA and the 54,750-yen level as a potential floor in the market. To the upside, we have the 58,800 level potentially offering a target.
The KOSPI in South Korea gapped lower, although it’s worth mentioning that it has clawed back some of those losses. I think ultimately the market might go looking to the 6,000-level given enough time, but it might take a minute to get there.
Short-term pullbacks open up the possibility of a drop back down to the 5,500 level, but I don’t think we’re going to see anything more dramatic than that as things stand. After all, we’re starting to see people price in the idea that at least there is still a ceasefire in the Middle East and therefore it means that there is at least some hope of a recovery in global supply chains.
The Nifty 50 in India gapped lower but has turned around to wipe out quite a bit of the losses and now looks like it’s threatening the 24,000-rupee level again. The 50-day EMA sits at 24,186 and a break above there could get momentum traders back into India, which had been beaten down so severely before. This could be thought of as a potential “value play” at the moment.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.