Silver drops as risk appetite crumbles early on Tuesday, with the Iranians claiming they will administer the Straight of Hormuz going forward. Silver remains volatile overall, so position sizing is crucial.
The silver market has fallen a bit during the trading session here on Tuesday as it now looks as if we are trying to test the $60 level. The $60 level is a pretty significant psychological barrier from what I can see, and I do think that you have a situation where traders are probably going to be very interested in seeing whether or not we can blow through there. This is a level that a lot of headlines will be made if and when it happens.
If we rally from here, then you have the 200-day EMA at $67.75 as a little bit of a barrier. I am watching for a bounce; it would make a certain amount of sense here, but we’ll just have to see how risk appetite goes. If we break through $60, though, we’re probably heading to $50 at that point. The $50 level being hit would be a big deal and could cause panic from the bulls at that point.
The correlation between lower interest rates and silver rising seems to be breaking down a bit, so do keep that in mind. Ultimately, I think you have to look at this as a market that is doing everything it can to find a bottom. The question at this point in time is whether or not it can. I suspect that this is going to come down to whether or not things deteriorate even further in the Middle East, and any reaction in the interest rate markets.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.