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S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stocks rally into resistance again

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Sep 4, 2019, 16:34 UTC

The stock market rallied again during the trading session on Wednesday, as we continue to see a lot of volatility heading towards the jobs figure. Having said that, there is still a massive amount of resistance just above.

S&P 500 daily chart, September 05, 2019

The S&P 500 rallied during the trading session early on Wednesday, to fill the gap from the Tuesday open, which of course is a technical standard. At this point though, the question is whether or not we can hang onto these gains. I do not suspect that we will be able to but have to follow the charts regardless. Currently, it looks like the 2950 level is the gateway to much higher pricing. With the jobs number coming out on Friday, I think it’s going to be difficult to break out between now and then. Quite frankly, you would have to have central bank officials talking about easing monetary policy between now and then to get the markets excited. Remember, the S&P 500 has absolutely nothing to do with the economy in the United States but rather whether or not money will be cheap.

S&P 500 Video 05.09.19

With that being the case, I look at this as a consolidating market between the 2950 level and the 2800 level underneath. All things being equal I anticipate that we will probably get a bit of a pullback between now and Friday, and then once the announcement comes out it’s almost anybody’s guess as to where we go next. As long as we stay in this range I have to assume that we continue the consolidation. If we do break out of it, the next move will dictate where my target is. On a breakout to the upside I would be aiming for the 3050 level, and on a break down below the 2800 level I would be aiming for 2700. Until then, it’s simple back and forth trading.

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About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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