U.S. Dollar Index gains ground as traders focus on the better-than-expected Michigan Consumer Sentiment report. The report indicated that Michigan Consumer Sentiment increased from 49.5 in June to 54.4 in July, compared to analyst forecast of 51.
Today, traders also had a chance to take a look at housing market data. Housing Starts increased by +19% month-over-month in June, compared to analyst forecast of 0%. Building Permits decreased by -3%, while analysts expected that they would drop by -0.7%.
U.S. Dollar Index settled above the support at 100.50 – 100.65 and is moving towards the 50 MA at 100.90. In case U.S. Dollar Index manages to settle above the 50 MA, it will move towards the resistance level at 101.15 – 101.30.
EUR/USD is stuck near the support level at 1.1420 – 1.1435 as traders focus on U.S. economic data. Industrial Production increased by +0.1% month-over-month in June, compared to analyst consensus of +0.2%.
In case EUR/USD manages to settle below the 1.1420 level, it will head towards the next support, which is located in the 1.1350 – 1.1365 range. On the upside, a move above the 1.1450 level will push EUR/USD towards the resistance at 1.1500 – 1.1515.
GBP/USD tested new lows as pullback continued. Traders focused on the rally in the oil markets, which was triggered by rising tensions in the Middle East.
If GBP/USD stays below the 1.3450 level, it will head towards the 50 MA at 1.3413. A move below the 50 MA will open the way to the test of the support level at 1.3335 – 1.3350. RSI remains in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain momentum in the near term.
On the upside, a successful test of the resistance at 1.3450 – 1.3465 will open the way to the test of the next resistance level at 1.3535 – 1.3550.
USD/CAD is losing ground as traders focus on rising gold and silver prices. Other commodity-related currencies are mixed in today’s trading session. There are no important economic reports scheduled to be released in Canada today, so traders will stay focused on general market sentiment.
USD/CAD continues its attempts to settle below the support at 1.4010 – 1.4025. If USD/CAD manages to settle below the 1.4010 level, it will head towards the next support, which is located in the 1.3915 – 1.3930. RSI has moved back into moderate territory, but there is some room to gain additional downside momentum in the near term.
USD/JPY remains stuck near the 162.50 level as traders focus on dynamics of Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries climbed above the 4.16% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries settled below 4.55%.
Traders are cautious amid worries about potential interventions from the Bank of Japan. However, BoJ’s interventions failed to provide support to the yen in 2026. In case USD/JPY manages to settle above the 162.80 level, it will gain additional upside momentum and head towards the 165.00 level.
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Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.