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USD/JPY Price Forecast – US dollar breaks resistance against yen

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jun 11, 2019, 16:44 UTC

The US dollar has rallied significantly against the Japanese yen on Tuesday, breaking above the highs of the Monday session, which of course is a very bullish sign. With that in mind, it’s likely that we could continue to go higher.

USD/JPY daily chart, June 12, 2019

The US dollar has rallied significantly during the trading session on Tuesday, breaking above the top of the shooting star that formed on Monday. Quite frankly, after Monday’s candle I suspect that we would drop to fill the gap, but there should be plenty of support in that area, roughly the ¥108 handle. I also recognize that there is support just below at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, so overall I would believe that there are plenty of buyers underneath to pick this market up. It will also move with risk appetite, so pay attention to other markets such as the S&P 500 which is my favorite secondary indicator for this pair.

USD/JPY Video 12.06.19

To the upside, we are probably going to try to wipeout that breakdown candle that fell from the ¥109.60 level. Whether or not we can break above the ¥109.70 level is going to be the next question, and if we do then I think we could finally go towards the ¥111.15 level which features a gap. I think that we will see the occasional short-term pullback, but it certainly looks as if there will be plenty of buyers underneath to support the market. I don’t have any interest in shorting this pair in the meantime, but if we were to break down below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level it probably will send this market down to the 105 young level underneath which is essentially the 100% Fibonacci retracement level. Until then, I think that we have a slow grind higher.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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