He said Tehran “will not negotiate with the United States,” raising the odds of another crypto market decline in the coming days, which may leave XRP in a vulnerable state.
The Ripple-associated token is flashing a downside continuation setup as geopolitics turns risk assets jumpy again.
XRP Inflows to Exchanges Hit ~$650 Million Amid US–Iran Tensions
XRP is reflecting the risk-off shift through exchange flows.
Binance has taken in more than 472 million XRP over the past week, worth roughly $652 million, marking the largest inflow stretch in February, data from CryptoQuant shows.
These deposits don’t prove investors are selling, but they do increase sell-ready supply.
Tokens moved onto exchanges can be offloaded quickly on spot markets or used for hedging and collateral when volatility spikes. And when inflows arrive in clusters instead of a single headline-driven spike, it often points to broader de-risking behavior.
Rising US–Israel–Iran tensions have lifted uncertainty across markets, prompting traders to prioritize liquidity and keep assets closer to venues where they can react fast.
Ripple Price Forecast
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See all Ripple forecastsBear Pennant Raises 35% Dip Risks
From a technical standpoint, XRP is coiling inside a bear pennant on the daily chart, typically a pause that forms after a sharp drop and resolves in the direction of the prevailing trend.
After dumping hard in early February, XRP began consolidating inside a tight, converging triangle, with lower highs pressing against relatively flat support near $1.30–$1.35.
This compression usually signals that sellers are still controlling the tape, especially with price holding below the 50-day SMA (~$1.63) and well under the 200-day SMA (~$2.26).
If XRP breaks below the pennant’s lower boundary, the standard measured-move projection points toward ~$0.86, implying roughly 35% downside from levels near $1.36.
XRP On-Chain Data Signals Dip Toward $1
Glassnode’s MVRV Extreme Deviation Bands show XRP drifting back toward its cost-basis zone after rejecting higher deviation levels. If weakness persists, the next key support is the -$0.5σ band near $1, a common mean-reversion area.
That sets a simple path: $1 is the first downside magnet; a confirmed bear-pennant breakdown keeps $0.86 in focus.
The bearish view fades if XRP breaks above pennant resistance and reclaims the 50-day SMA, signaling improving demand.
