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United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index
Last Release
Jul 31, 2025
Actual
-0.19
Units In
Points
Previous
-0.18
Frequency
Monthly
Next Release
Sep 22, 2025
Time to Release
26 Days 18 Hours
Highest | Lowest | Average | Date Range | Source |
6.01 Jun 2020 | -17.79 Apr 2020 | 0 Points | 1967-2025 | Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago |
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure. The CFNAI is based on a weighted average of 85 existing monthly indicators of national economic activity. It has an average value of zero and a standard deviation of one. Since economic activity tends toward trend growth rate over time, a positive reading corresponds to growth above trend and a negative reading corresponds to growth below trend.
Latest Updates
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) edged down to -0.19 in July from a revised -0.18 in June, signaling that U.S. economic activity remained below its historical trend for a fourth straight month. Although only one of the four broad categories deteriorated from June, three categories still contributed negatively to the index in July. Production-related indicators contributed -0.10, reversing from +0.01 in June. Employment-related indicators contributed -0.06, slightly better than -0.08 previously, while the sales, orders, and inventories category contributed -0.02, up from -0.10. The personal consumption and housing category made a neutral contribution, compared with -0.01 in June.
United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index History
Last 12 readings