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ADP: US Private Sector Thrives with 324K New Jobs, Exceeding Expectations

By:
James Hyerczyk
Updated: Aug 2, 2023, 14:50 GMT+00:00

The US private sector witnessed a remarkable surge in job numbers during July, with a staggering 324,000 jobs created, exceeding all expectations.

ADP Employment

Highlights

  • 324K jobs added in July, surpassing expectations.
  • Leisure and hospitality sector saw a significant 201K surge.
  • Resilient services industry contributed 303K jobs.

Overview

Private sector companies in the United States exceeded expectations by adding a remarkable number of jobs in July, as per a report from payroll processing firm ADP. A staggering 324,000 jobs were created during the month, with a significant 201,000 surge in the leisure and hospitality sector, including hotels, restaurants, bars, and affiliated businesses. This remarkable increase in job numbers surpassed the Dow Jones consensus estimate of 175,000. However, it’s important to note that this figure represented a slight decline from the revised 455,000 jobs added in June.

The report provides a positive outlook for the U.S. job market, even amidst the Federal Reserve’s efforts to slow down the economy and curb inflation. The strong economy and robust labor market continue to bolster household spending. Notably, job growth was predominantly seen in the services-related industries, as the economy transitions from its goods-oriented focus during the initial days of the Covid pandemic. The services sector contributed 303,000 jobs, reflecting its resilience.

Besides leisure and hospitality, other industries also contributed to job gains. Information services added 36,000 positions, trade, transportation, and utilities grew by 30,000, and other services, which encompass activities like dry cleaning and housekeeping, contributed 24,000 jobs. However, goods producers showed a more modest performance, with just 21,000 jobs added. While natural resources and mining increased by 48,000 positions, manufacturing experienced a loss of 36,000 jobs. The construction industry was responsible for adding the remaining 9,000 jobs.

In terms of wages, the report indicated an annual increase of 6.2%, which exceeds the long-term average but represents the lowest growth rate since November 2021. This data implies that wage growth has been slowing down, but job losses have not been widespread.

The ADP report serves as a precursor to the more widely followed nonfarm payrolls count, which is scheduled to be released by the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday. It is essential to note that the numbers from ADP and the BLS can differ significantly, as seen in June when ADP reported 455,000 jobs added, significantly higher than the BLS figure of 209,000.

Furthermore, the ADP report highlighted that the majority of job gains were concentrated in small firms with fewer than 50 employees, which added 237,000 positions. Companies with 50 to 499 employees contributed 138,000 jobs, while larger firms experienced a loss of 67,000 jobs.

Overall, the ADP report paints a positive picture of the U.S. job market, with the private sector demonstrating remarkable resilience and growth despite economic uncertainties. The upcoming government report is eagerly awaited to further assess the state of the labor market.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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