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Bitcoin – The Bears Take a Breather

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Aug 9, 2018, 04:22 UTC

A relief rally on the way or just a pause in the downward spiral? Holding on to $6,300 levels will be key through the morning.

bitcoin

Bitcoin’s troubles continued on Wednesday, falling by 6.62% off the back of Tuesday’s 3.27% decline, to end the day at $6,273.9.

Negative sentiment towards the latest SEC delay tactic on approving Bitcoin ETFs was left accountable to the broad based market sell-off, with Bitcoin sliding through the first major support level at $6,544 and second major support level at $6,374 to an intraday low $6,128.2.

A late recovery to $6,200 levels was of little consolation to the Bitcoin bulls, with Bitcoin now having some distance to cover to attempt a break back through the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level, with sub-$6,000 levels in sight. 3-consecutive days of losses reaffirmed the extended bearish trend formed at 5th May’s swing hi $9,999.

For the Bitcoin bulls, the only good news on the day was that sub-$6,000 levels were avoided, with Bitcoin also managing to avoid striking a new swing low, a comfort that many of the other major cryptos were unable to enjoy.

The broad based market sell-off has been particularly telling, with the total cryptomarket cap sliding from $300bn levels to sub-$220bn levels before support kicked in, Bitcoin’s market cap pulling back to a Wednesday low $107.08bn.

On the news wires, there was nothing new to drive the market into a selling frenzy for a 2nd consecutive day, the speculative nature of cryptocurrency investors driving the sell-off and ultimately demonstrating why there is a growing need for an influx of institutional money by way of Bitcoin ETFs.

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At the time of writing, Bitcoin was up 0.37% to $6,303.7, with the range bound end of the day on Wednesday continuing into the early hours of this morning.

A start of a day morning low $6,268.4 and early morning high $6,329.9 saw Bitcoin steer clear of the day’s major support and resistance levels in the early hours, though a pullback from the early high could ultimately be the deciding factor on Bitcoin’s direction through the morning and early afternoon.

For the day ahead, a move through the morning high to $6,370 levels would support a run at $6,500 levels to bring the day’s first major resistance level at $6,619.93 into play, though for Bitcoin to find such momentum, a hold at $6,300 levels through the early morning will be a must and sentiment across the broader market will need to see a significant improvement.

Failure to hold on to $6,300 levels and move through to $6,370 could see Bitcoin hit reverse for a 4th consecutive day, a sell-off likely to see Bitcoin pullback through Wednesday’s $6,128.2 low to test the day’s first major support level at $6,028.03.

While Bitcoin managed to avoid new swing lo levels in the latest sell-off, a failure to make a move back through to $6,400 levels will be a negative, though some support is bound to kick in at current levels, with the latest slide coming off the back of a delay to a much needed approval of Bitcoin ETFs rather than material shift in the regulatory landscape.

BTC/USD 09/08/18 4-Hourly Chart

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About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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