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3 Reasons Why Ethereum May Continue Its Rally in August

By
Yashu Gola
Published: Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Ethereum has historically gained an average 18.1% in August after closing July higher, with positive returns in three of four comparable years.
  • ETH’s double-bottom breakout points toward $2,100–$2,180 as long as the $1,805 neckline holds as support.
  • A confirmed ETH/BTC cup-and-handle breakout above 0.0300 BTC could strengthen Ether’s dollar rally toward or above $2,200.
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At least three technical and historical indicators suggest the rally could extend into August.

Ethereum Posted 18% Average Returns in August After a Bullish July

Based on the CoinGlass data shown, Ethereum has usually continued rising in August after posting a positive July.

Ethereum monthly returns chart. Source: CoinGlass

Following a positive July, Ethereum’s August performance was:

  • Positive in 3 of 4 cases: 75%
  • Average return: +18.10%
  • Median return: +22.05%

That is considerably stronger than ETH’s unconditional August record, which shows an average gain of 7.39% but a median loss of 4.54%. Ethereum’s history, therefore, leans bullish for August.

Ethereum Double Bottom Targets $2,180

Ether’s daily chart is showing a potential double-bottom reversal after forming two comparable lows near the $1,520 area in June and July.

ETH has since broken above the pattern’s neckline around $1,805, strengthening the bullish case. If the breakout holds, the measured move points toward the $2,100–$2,180 region, including the 200-day simple moving average near $2,111.

Ethereum’s daily price chart featuring the double bottom breakout setup. Source: TradingView

The setup would gain further credibility if ETH turns the $1,805 neckline into support during a pullback.

Conversely, a decisive close back below that level could weaken the breakout and expose the $1,700 area before a possible retest of the June–July lows.

ETH/BTC Cup-and-Handle Supports Further Dollar Gains

Ethereum may also outperform Bitcoin (BTC) in August, according to a potential cup-and-handle setup on the ETH/BTC daily chart.

The rounded cup formed between May and July, with its base near 0.0254 BTC and neckline around 0.0298–0.0300 BTC. A decisive daily close above 0.0300 BTC could confirm the breakout and send the pair toward 0.0345–0.0355 BTC, representing roughly 20% upside relative to Bitcoin.

Ethereum’s performance relative to Bitcoin featuring the cup-and-handle breakout setup. Source: TradingView

That relative-strength breakout could reinforce ETH’s dollar rally, particularly if Bitcoin remains stable or rebounds. For example, a 20% rise in ETH/BTC alongside a flat BTC/USD rate would imply a similar gain in ETH/USD, potentially lifting Ether above $2,200.

However, a sharp Bitcoin decline could offset ETH’s relative outperformance and limit its dollar-denominated gains. The setup would weaken below 0.0285 BTC.

About the Author

Yashu GolaSenior Cryptocurrencies Analyst

Yashu Gola is a crypto journalist and analyst with expertise in digital assets, blockchain, and macroeconomics. He provides in-depth market analysis, technical chart patterns, and insights on global economic impacts. His work bridges traditional finance and crypto, offering actionable advice and educational content. Passionate about blockchain's role in finance, he studies behavioral finance to predict memecoin trends.

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