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Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin and Ripple Daily Analysis – 19/05/18

By:
Bob Mason
Published: May 19, 2018, 05:12 UTC

It's another bearish start to the weekend, with support levels likely to be tested, but with volatility continuing to sit high, a weekend rally may be around the corner.

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Bitcoin Cash Goes Defensive

Bitcoin Cash gained 0.98% on Friday, to bring an end to 4 consecutive days’ of decline, ending the day at $1,204.1, to leave Bitcoin Cash down 18.3% for the week, Monday through Friday.

A start of the day fall to a morning low $1,155.1 held above the day’s first major support level at $1,115.37, supporting a morning recovery to an intraday high $1,224 before a middle of the day reversal, the day’s high falling well short of the first major resistance level at $1,307.77 and the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $1,320.9.

The afternoon reversal saw Bitcoin Cash pullback to an intraday low and new swing lo $1,128 before recovering in the late part of the day to eke out a minor gain for the day.

Failing to test the day’s key resistance levels and striking a new swing lo on Friday affirmed the near-term bearish trend, pointing to more declines ahead.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin Cash was down 1.74% to $1,182, negative sentiment towards Bitcoin Cash continuing to weigh, investors looking elsewhere following a hard fork that isn’t expected to deliver too many fireworks in the near-term.

A start of the day slide did the damage early on, with Bitcoin Cash falling to a morning low $1,166.8 before partially recovering, Bitcoin Cash finding little support in spite of holding above the day’s first major support level at $1,146.73.

For the day ahead, a move back through to $1,185 would support a run at $1,200 levels, though there will likely be plenty of resistance later in the day that could pin Bitcoin Cash back from a run at the day’s first major resistance level at $1,242.73.

Failing to break through to $1,200 levels could see a reversal of any intraday gains, with the day’s first major support level at $1,146.73 certainly in play today, the crypto bulls likely to be disappointed, as the prospects of a weekend rally look slim early on.

It’s looking particularly bearish and would expect the day’s support levels to be tested before any bounce back.

BCH/USD 19/05/18 Hourly Chart

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Litecoin Finds Support

Litecoin had a better day than most on Friday, gaining 2.72% to end the day at $136.25, down 5.66% for the week.

It was a choppy day for Litecoin, with an intraday low and new swing lo $129.1 coming at the start of the day, before upward momentum took Litecoin through to an intraday high $137.6 in the late afternoon.

In spite of the day’s gains and a new swing lo, major support and resistance levels were left untested, with Litecoin’s low the first visit to sub-$130 levels since 18th April.

At the time of writing, Litecoin was up 0.25% to $136.64, recovering from an early morning $134.25 low to current levels, the early dip steering clear of the day’s first major support level at $131.03, while the day’s first major resistance level at $139.53 also remained untested.

For the day ahead, a run at the day’s first major resistance level would support a break through to $140 levels to test selling pressure at the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $142, though for Litecoin to break through to $140 levels, sentiment will need to improve through the day, the bears continuing to drive the markets early on.

Failing to break through to $140 levels could see Litecoin cough up Friday’s gains to test the day’s first major support level and dip back into the $120s before any recovery.

The near-term bearish trend formed at 5th May’s $182.35 remains intact, with a break through the 38.2% FIB Retracement Level of $149 into the $150s needed to support a bearish trend reversal, the chances of which look slim at best for now.

LTC/USD 19/05/18 Hourly Chart

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Ripple Looks Bearish Again

Ripple’s XRP gained 3.3% on Friday, partially reversing Thursday’s 6.57% slide, to end the week down 7.14% to $0.68008.

A start of the day fall to an intraday low $0.64193 held above the day’s first major support level at $0.6324, leading to a move through to a morning high $0.67771, before an afternoon rally to an intraday high $0.68606, the day’s high falling short of the first major resistance level at $0.7025 and the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $0.7112.

In spite of managing to avoid a new swing lo, the near-term bearish trend remained intact with Ripple’s XRP failing to test key resistance levels through the day, while also falling well short of the 38.2% FIB Retracement Level of $0.7603 that needs to be breached to reverse the bearish trend.

At the time of writing, Ripple’s XRP was down 0.31% to $0.67776, with the day starting off on a bad note, Ripple’s XRP falling to a start of the day $0.0.66701 before recovering to $0.67 levels.

Holding above the day’s first major support level at $0.6527 will have been the only positive at the start of the day, with negative sentiment across the broader market likely to weigh on Friday’s gains.

For the day ahead, a move through to $0.67 levels would support a run at the day’s first major resistance level at $0.6968 to bring the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $0.7112 into play, though sentiment will need to shift for a break back through to $0.70 levels, Friday’s high the first time Ripple’s XRP fell short of $0.70 levels since 18th April.

Failure to break through to $0.70 levels in the middle part of the day will likely bring the day’s first major support level at $0.6527 into play, though we would expect Ripple’s XRP to recover from any sub-$0.65 moves in what will be another choppy day ahead.

XRP/USD 19/05/18 Hourly Chart

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About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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