The Euro continues to go back and forth during the trading session on Wednesday, and what would have been a bit of a thin day in north America due to the observing of the death of President Bush. Ultimately, I think that we are close to fair value.
The Euro went back and forth against the US dollar during trading on Wednesday, as we continue to hover around the 1.13 level overall. The 1.15 level above is massive resistance, just as the 1.11 level underneath is massive support. At this point, I believe that the market is still going to be dominated by high-frequency traders, putting things back and forth. I also believe that the market is essentially stuck in this range between now and the end of the year so I think you are simply looking to trade short-term charts, perhaps as low as 15 minutes to play back and forth. I would not look for major gains at this point because there are so many concerns and the European Union right now, and of course suddenly the Federal Reserve looks a little bit more flexible and its interest rate approach.
If we did break above the 1.15 handle, then we could go to the 1.16 level, possibly even the 1.18 handle. Otherwise, I think that we break down to the 1.11 handle. If we break down below that level, then all bets are off as we will more than likely go down to the 1.10 level, and then possibly even the 1.08 level. I don’t think it’s likely to happen, as the 1.11 level has been so much in the way of support. Simply put, between now and New Year’s Day I expect to hang around this basic area.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.