The British pound initially tried to rally during the trading session on Wednesday but then broke down a bit to show signs of exhaustion. Ultimately, we are still sitting above support though, so I do not necessarily believe that we are going to see some type of collapse in the short term.
The British pound has initially tried to rally during the trading session on Wednesday, but then gave up the gains rather quickly to start falling towards the 1.24 level. That being said, the market still has a bit of an uptrend line underneath and obviously there is a lot of bullish pressure in that general vicinity. While I am bearish of the bridge pound longer-term, the best way to trade this market has been to fade short-term rallies. Simply put, it is being increasingly stubborn about breaking down, but it has not showed itself to be extraordinarily bullish from this level.
Keep in mind that the 50 day EMA is offering resistance just at the 1.25 handle, which also features the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. That being the case, the market looks highly likely to continue to show signs of exhaustion in this area, and as a result it is likely that short-term charts will work out quite nicely for you if you keep a negative buyers. To the downside, the 1.22 level is massive support and if that gets broken below, then we could see a lot of momentum shift to the downside. That being said, we have seen a lot of volatility, and that of course means that it is not as simple as “pressing the sell button.” Look for value in the US dollar, meaning that when we rally from a move, it offers an ability to pick up US dollars “on the cheap.”
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.