Gold drops as rates rise on Thursday, as we continue to see higher yields work against the value of gold. At this point, we are seeing a lot of overhead pressures, but still have a longer-term bullish run possible.
The gold market has drifted a bit lower during the early part of the trading session on Thursday, reaching toward the 200-day EMA. The 200-day EMA, of course, is going to be an indicator that a lot of people watch very closely for support. And at this juncture, I think we have to look at this through the prism of a market that is just trying to find some type of floor.
If the market can rally from here, the $4,600 level, I think, is resistance, followed by the 50-day EMA. Those could be your targets if we get some type of bounce. If we break down below the 200-day EMA, it opens up the possibility of a move down to the $4,200 level.
I do think that gold is just simply watching the bond market still, and as rates rise, it’s very difficult for gold to do the same. It’s not the be-all, end-of-all, but it is a major driver of where we’re going.
Keep in mind that the situation in the Middle East continues to be fluid and volatile, to say the least. So, with that, I think you have to believe that this is a market that is simply going to be very choppy. Unfortunately, the situation in the Middle East is probably not going to resolve itself easily, and if that’s the case, we probably have more of this type of choppy, slightly negative trading ahead of us. I think gold will remain a short-term trading environment for some time.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.