Gold Price Forecast – Collapsing Dollar Could Push Gold to $2300 by May 2021
I think the dollar is experiencing a meaningful devaluation. Prices are extremely overdue for a bounce, but the trend pushes persistently lower. The final area of support arrives at the 2018 low of 88.15. If that level fails, I believe the USD could collapse to 80 by April/May 2021.
We are in a similar setup to the post-trendline breakdown of gold in 2002/2003. Consequently, I believe the dollar is on the verge of an accelerated decline towards 80. The weakening dollar should push gold higher into April/May 2021 before the next 6-month cycle correction.
In 2002/2003, the US was coming out of recession, just like now. The recent $900-billion relief package will not be the last. I expect one or two more programs next year – this should continue to deflate the dollar and push hard assets higher.
MEDIUM-TERM GOLD FORECAST
The 6-month cycle in gold likely bottomed at $1767.20 in November. Prices are climbing the “wall of worry,” and I expect a breakout above the intermediate trendline within the next 1 to 3-weeks. The trigger event to push gold through the trendline could arrive any day, but the time surrounding the January 5th run-off election in Georgia is of particular interest. The minimum target on a breakout is $2300 for this leg higher.
Note- Silver and Platinum are leading gold and should outperform gold in 2021. Our educational metals portfolio is long GDXJ, SILJ, GDX.
AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle. He posts daily updates to Premium Members. For more information, please visit here.