Based on the early price action, the direction of the December Comex Gold market today is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1205.90.
Gold futures are trading higher shortly before the regular session opening. A weaker U.S. Dollar is underpinning the market. Rising U.S. Treasury yields may be capping gains.
At 1119 GMT, December Comex Gold is trading $1207.60, up $4.70 or +0.40%.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. However, momentum has been trending lower since the formation of the closing price reversal top at $1218.00 on September 13.
A trade through $1218.00 will negate the reversal top and signal a resumption of the uptrend. The main trend will change to down on a trade through $1192.70.
The main range is $1244.70 to $1167.10. Its retracement zone at $1205.90 to $1215.10 is controlling the near-term direction of the market and acting like resistance.
The short-term range is $1167.10 to $1220.70. Its retracement zone at $1193.90 to $1187.60 is the primary downside target and support.
Based on the early price action, the direction of the December Comex Gold market today is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1205.90.
A sustained move over $1205.90 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this move can generate enough upside momentum then look for the rally to extend into an uptrending Gann angle at $1213.10, followed by a Fibonacci level at $1215.10.
The trigger points for an upside breakout are a pair of main tops at $1218.00 and $1220.70.
A sustained move under $1205.90 will signal the presence of sellers. The first target angle drops in at $1190.10. This is a potential trigger point for an acceleration to the downside with $1193.90 to $1187.60 the main target.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.