The S&P500 and Nasdaq closed at records Friday, driven by upbeat tech earnings, Fed rate expectations, and resilient US stock market performance.
U.S. equity markets closed higher Friday as traders positioned for a busy week marked by the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, key earnings from Big Tech, and a looming trade deadline set by President Trump.
Investor sentiment remained resilient, buoyed by strong earnings and economic data staying within expectations. Roughly 80% of S&P 500 companies reporting so far have beaten forecasts, lifting the outlook for second-quarter earnings growth to 7.7% from 5.8% earlier in the month, per LSEG data.
Still, traders remain watchful with President Trump’s August 1 trade deadline fast approaching and the Fed expected to keep rates unchanged in the 4.25% to 4.50% range.
The S&P 500 climbed 0.40% to 6,388.65, the Nasdaq added 0.24% to 21,108.32, and the Dow rose 0.47% to 44,901.92. Broad-based strength in U.S. equities contrasted with global softness.
The STOXX 600 in Europe slipped 0.29%, while MSCI’s Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell 0.93%. Emerging markets underperformed, with MSCI’s EM index dropping 0.81%, reflecting unease over trade negotiations and mixed corporate results.
Intel tumbled 8.5% after issuing a weaker-than-expected forecast and shelving multiple factory projects. The move spurred caution across semiconductors.
Attention now shifts to upcoming earnings from Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft, where investors will assess progress on AI monetization and gauge the impact of global tariffs on forward guidance.
The Fed’s upcoming policy meeting is expected to leave rates unchanged, as economic indicators point to solid growth and controlled inflation.
The 10-year Treasury yield slipped to 4.384%, signaling confidence in the Fed’s current stance. Comments from Chair Jerome Powell will be critical as traders weigh the central bank’s response to both economic data and renewed political pressure from President Trump.
The dollar index rose 0.23% to 97.68, dampening appetite for commodities.
Gold dropped 0.9% to $3,337.66/oz, while WTI crude declined 1.32% to $65.16 and Brent lost 1.07% to $68.44.
Bitcoin fell 1.66% to $116,805, and Ethereum slid 2.52% to $3,645.63, reflecting broader softness across risk assets.
With earnings delivering upside surprises and the Fed expected to stay on hold, markets are positioned for further gains.
However, tariff developments and Powell’s guidance will be pivotal for sustaining momentum.
Traders should monitor conference call commentary from tech giants and any escalation in trade rhetoric as catalysts for near-term direction.
More Information in our Economic Calendar.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.