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Natural Gas Price Forecast – Natural gas markets continue to try and bounce

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Aug 8, 2019, 16:18 UTC

Natural gas markets rallied a bit during the trading session on Thursday, breaking towards the $2.15 level yet again, an area that is resistance as we have seen over the last couple of days. All things being equal, I think there is still plenty of resistance above there as well.

Natural gas daily chart, August 09, 2019

Natural gas markets have rallied a bit during the trading session on Thursday, reaching towards the $2.15 level which of course is an area that should continue to cause resistance. However, there’s even more resistance at the $2.20 level and of course the 50 day EMA above there which is closer to the $2.30 level. Ultimately, we are in a downtrend and we do need to see rallies at this point as opportunities to start selling yet again. Ultimately, I do think that natural gas will turn around but we aren’t anywhere near that right now, because we are still in a relatively warm temperatures as far as the September contract is concerned.

NATGAS Video 08.08.19

Because of this, I’m looking for selling opportunities only. I also recognize that the $2.00 level underneath is massive support and of course a major target, so with that I think it’s only a matter of time before we test that level. I don’t know that we break down below there, and I certainly think that there will be a lot of people looking to try to take a flyer on this market in that region. At the very least I would expect a lot of profit taking, so that of course can come into play as well. All things being equal I think that the market is looking for opportunities to try to break down through that level, but don’t be surprised if we can’t. Either way, it’s hard to imagine a scenario where we don’t at least try.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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