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Short Term Reactions in Euro Causing Trouble

By:
Yaron Mazor
Published: Feb 26, 2018, 13:01 UTC

The Euro received a short-term bounce higher this morning on the news yesterday German Chancellor Merkel has formed an official government.

Short Term Reactions in Euro Causing Trouble

However, ECB President Draghi will be speaking this afternoon and impact the Euro too.

Merkel Provides Short Term Bounce

The Euro gained slightly against the U.S Dollar when trading opened this morning but remains within the lower depths of its mid-term range. The Euro is near 1.2330 and has a busy two days ahead as ECB President Draghi speaks today, and U.S Fed Chairman Powell speaks tomorrow.

EUR/USD 4H Chart
EUR/USD 4H Chart

The Euro may have gotten a bounce higher on the news German Chancellor Merkel has officially formed her coalition government. However, this may prove to be a short-term reaction. 

Reversal Higher Not an Automatic Assumption

The Euro has produced a wide range the past month, but it does appear to have support near 1.22, while resistance is about 1.25. However, the fact the Euro remains near critical support should not cause traders to automatically think it will reverse higher near term.

EUR/USD Daily Chart
EUR/USD Daily Chart

Traders should note the Italian Parliamentary Election will be on Sunday. And if European Central Bank President Draghi sounds a cautious tone today in Brussels, the Euro may find itself confronting headwinds.

In the short term, we believe the Euro may be negative. The mid-term and Long term we are unbiased.

Yaron Mazor is a senior analyst at SuperTraderTV.

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About the Author

Yaron Mazorcontributor

Yaron has been involved with the capital markets since 1998. During the past 16 years, Yaron has been a day and swing stocks trader in the American market. Yaron has founded and made successful investments into businesses spanning exciting industries – from apparel to restaurants and bars, to high tech, medical technology, and education.

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