Silver has plunged again early on Monday, as we saw a bit of follow-through of the Friday action that caused so many headlines. Silver will continue to be a dangerous place to trade.
Silver has plunged again in the early hours on Monday, breaking below the 50-day EMA and even threatening $70. That being said, we have bounced a bit, so now we need to see if the Americans will pick this up and drive it north.
Quite frankly, a big candlestick like we saw on Friday almost never happens in and of its own vacuum. Typically, there is follow-through, and that is part of what we saw early in Asia.
Really at this point in time, it does look like we could also go sideways, which would be a very bullish sign. A couple of days of sideways action might get value hunters back into this trade.
If we break below the $70 level, I think silver is probably done for quite some time. The move has been ridiculous in both directions now, but quite frankly, I think you have a situation where you have to watch every large round, psychologically significant figure to see how the market behaves, meaning every $10.
So far, the $70 level certainly looks to be the floor in the market. Whether or not that holds remains to be seen. To be honest with you, this is not a market I would be messing around in right now. While the reward could be rather large, the reality is the risk is equally so. This is a market that if it does go to the upside, it is probably going to be very slow and painful. There will be a lot of trauma done to trading accounts on Friday.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.