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Solana Price Prediction: Reversion to the Mean Could Push SOL to $120

By
Alejandro Arrieche
Updated: Mar 17, 2026, 19:28 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Solana’s last 4x trade hit its mark on Monday.
  • The price broke through the $90 ceiling and could retest it soon, opening room for late buyers to enter the rally.
  • The $100 area looks like the next target, followed by a stronger move to the 200-day EMA at $120.
solana price prediction

Solana (SOL) has booked a 7% gain in the past 7 days after breaking the $90 barrier, as traders’ interest in cryptocurrencies seems to be recovering.

Trading volumes have retreated a bit, but are still quite high at 9% of the token’s circulating market cap.

On Friday, we shared an interesting trading opportunity that would have yielded a 4.5x return, and we nailed it.

SOL/USD 4H Chart – Source: TradingView

A buy signal right before a break above the $88 level set the stage for a strong move toward a key resistance level at $97.

The game plan in this case involved an entry at $88 following an expected retest, with a stop price set $2 below that mark. This trade was a home run, but Solana might still have some more upside ahead as long as the $90 level holds.

Network Activity Remains High, Just 8% Off Recent Records

Data from SoSoValue shows that exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to this altcoin took in $16 million in the past four days, while network usage continued to be high last week.

The Solana blockchain processed 880 million transactions according to data from Artemis, a level that is just 8% below its recent record from early February.

These are all bullish signals that indicate rising demand for Solana-based applications, which should translate into higher appetite for its native asset.

Heading to the daily chart, see that this breakout above $90 has effectively invalidated a potentially bearish bull flag pattern.

SOL/USD Daily Chart – Source: TradingView

This could probably put SOL on track to retest its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) from below as part of a normal reversion to the mean move. This technical indicator currently stands, but might drop to $120 based on its current trajectory.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in this higher time frame currently sits at 60, meaning that bullish momentum is increasingly rising. We might expect a retest of the $90 level before the uptrend continues.

Such a move would open up another interesting trading opportunity, as SOL’s rise to $120 means a 26% upside potential.

Another 4x Trade On The Table If SOL Drops to $90

Moving down to the 4-hour chart, we can see that we got a buy signal right at the breakout level at $90. This means strong institutional and whale participation as volumes shot up above the average.

SOL/USD 4H Chart – Source: TradingView

Our system tracks these “decisional” candles, and they gain more relevance when they pop up at key levels.

A drop to $90 could provide an attractive entry for another 4x trade, setting the $100 psychological threshold as Solana’s next target and placing the stop-loss right below the $88.50 level.

This pullback seems likely as the RSI has already hit overbought, while the price has also hit a trend line resistance. That said, if the price action breaks below the $85 threshold, that would invalidate the entire setup, and would turn this whole move into a “fakeout”.

About the Author

Alejandro Arrieche specializes in drafting news articles that incorporate technical analysis for traders and possesses in-depth knowledge of value investing and fundamental analysis.

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