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S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock markets run into resistance

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Aug 12, 2019, 16:21 UTC

The S&P 500 rallied a bit during the trading session on Monday, reaching towards the 50 day EMA before rolling over again. At this point, the market has pulled back from a major resistance barrier, which most longer-term traders will pay attention to.

S&P 500 daily chart, August 13, 2019

The S&P 500 has initially tried to rally during the trading session on Wednesday but ran into a buzz saw of resistance at the 50 day EMA. By doing so, we have broken below the 2900 level, and it does suggest that we could continue to see a lot of negativity. The 200 day EMA which is blue is massive support underneath, and I think that would be the target if we could continue to go lower. Ultimately, I think that the market continues to bounce around between these moving averages, but if we can break above the 50 day EMA that would probably be a bullish sign. That would be just as true as a break down below the 200 day EMA being a negative sign.

S&P 500 Video 13.08.19

At this point, I believe that the market is trying to figure out where to go next, and quite frankly there is a lot of confusion and fear out there. I can make an argument for both sides of the equation, so having said that it’s likely that we will continue to see a lot of volatility and choppiness. At this point, the market looks likely to be very confused and erratic, but if you are a short-term range bound trader, you could use these two indicators as an opportunity to play back and forth. Ultimately, this is a market that I think probably favors small position size is at best. However, once we break out of this range it should become more of a longer-term trade.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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