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S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets run into Resistance Again

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Feb 8, 2019, 18:22 UTC

The S&P 500 did pull back a little bit during the trading session on Friday again, but I also recognize that there is a downtrend that has held up now. At this point, there is a significant amount of support underneath as well though, so quite frankly there is a lot of confusion right now.

S&P 500 daily chart, February 11, 2019

The S&P 500 pulled back a bit during the trading session on Friday as we continue to see a lot of trouble. At this point, we have pulled back a bit and what is most important to pay attention to is the fact that the shooting star from the weekly chart has happened right at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. At this point, I do think that we go lower if the political situation doesn’t get better. We are almost assured of a government shutdown rather soon, and of course the US/China trade relations aren’t going anywhere. If that’s going to be the case, stock markets are probably going to take it on the chin.

S&P 500 Video 11.02.19

I would also point out just how low the volume has been on the way out. There was a much more volume attic move to the downside, so you should pay attention to that. If we make a fresh, new high, then we can go higher because it is a break of a shooting star which is a very bullish sign and could send this market looking towards the 2800 level. If we do fall from here, then I think we could go down to the 2600 level, possibly even the 2500 level after that. Overall, I think we are at a major inflection point, so we are about to see the markets make a decision.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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