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U.S. Dollar Rallies As Traders Focus On U.S. – EU Trade Deal: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Jul 28, 2025, 16:48 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD pulled back towards the 1.1600 level as traders reacted to the trade deal between U.S. and EU.
  • GBP/USD moved below the 1.3400 level amid rising demand for the American currency.
  • USD/CAD gained ground as demand for commodity-related currencies declined.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Tests Weekly Highs

DXY
DXY 280725 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index rallied as U.S. reached a trade deal with the EU. The European Union will face a 15% tariff on most goods and reduce tariffs on some U.S. products to 0%.

U.S. Dollar Index moved above the resistance at 98.00 – 98.20 and is trying to settle above the 98.50 level. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will head towards the next resistance at 99.20 – 99.40.

EUR/USD Is Under Strong Pressure

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 280725 4h Chart

EUR/USD is under pressure as traders react to the U.S. – EU trade deal. While EU leaders tried to defend the deal, the market sees it as a big win for the United States and a loss for the European Union.

From the technical point of view, EUR/USD settled below the support at 1.1675 – 1.1690 and is heading towards the next support level at 1.1575 – 1.1590.

GBP/USD Tests Support At 1.3370 – 1.3390

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 280725 4h Chart

GBP/USD is losing ground as traders focus on general strength of the American currency.

A successful test of the support at 1.3370 – 1.3390 will push GBP/USD towards the next support level, which is located in the 1.3250 – 1.3270 range.

USD/CAD Moves Higher Amid Falling Demand For Commodity-Related Currencies

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 280725 4h Chart

USD/CAD gained ground despite the rally in the oil markets. Other commodity-related currencies have also found themselves under pressure in today’s trading session.

A move above the 1.3750 level will open the way to the test of the next resistance level at 1.3845 – 1.3860.

USD/JPY Attempts To Settle Above 148.50

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 280725 4h Chart

USD/JPY is moving higher amid rising Treasury yields. The yield of 10-year Treasuries settled above the 4.40% level, which was bullish for the American currency.

In case USD/JPY stays above the resistance at 147.50 – 148.00, it will head towards the next resistance at 151.00 – 151.50.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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