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Christopher Lewis
USD/JPY daily chart, May 14, 2019

The US dollar has fallen a bit against the Japanese yen, breaking through the ¥109.50 level. This is a very negative turn of events for this pair, but there is plenty of support underneath. Because of this, I’m not necessarily looking to sell this market, but rather looking for some type of supportive bounce, especially if I can find it near the ¥108 level which would represent decent value.

USD/JPY Video 14.05.19

Keep in mind that this pair does tend to follow risk appetite, so pay attention to what the stock markets are doing. If they are falling apart, it’s very likely that this pair will continue to fall. That is what we started to see initially, so therefore it’s not a huge surprise to consider that this market would struggle. However, if we get some type of recovery in the stock markets after this latest round of tariff nonsense, we could very likely find this pair turning right back around and recapturing the ¥109.7 level. If we do, that would be an extraordinarily bullish sign. At that point, I would anticipate a return to fill the gap at the ¥111 level, something that I expect to see sooner or later anyway.

Looking at this chart, you are probably going to need to see some type of daily close with support to take advantage of what I believe will be a very strong support level underneath. Because of this, I would place any trades based upon daily closes and not intraday charts.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

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