XRP (XRP) has rebounded more than 50% from its August lows as the broader crypto market recovers. A recurring technical fractal now suggests the Ripple-associated token could rally another 125% in the coming weeks.
Let’s examine.
XRP Fractal Points to 125% Price Rally
XRP was trading near $1.54 on Oct. 2, rebounding from a long-term ascending support trendline that has repeatedly marked the beginning of major upside moves.
The two-week chart below shows the consistent fractal. In each previous cycle, XRP formed a descending resistance line after a major price peak, while its broader higher-low structure remained supported by the same rising trendline.
The first setup developed after XRP’s 2018 peak.
Its descending resistance eventually converged with the long-term ascending support around 2020, after which XRP broke higher and rallied by nearly 900% to reach the $2 region in 2021.
A similar structure emerged following the 2021 top. XRP spent roughly two years beneath another falling resistance line before breaking out around 2023. The move ultimately preceded the token’s 150% surge toward the $3.40-$3.50 area in 2025.
Now, the pattern appears to be repeating for a third time.
XRP has corrected from its 2025 high while maintaining the decade-long rising support structure. The latest descending trendline has again converged with that support zone, and price is beginning to rebound from the intersection.
XRP’s two-week RSI has recovered toward 50, while the token is trading above its 20-period EMA (green) near $1.46 and 100-period EMA (purple) around $1.39. Reclaiming the 50-period EMA (red) near $1.59 would further strengthen the recovery setup.
XRP could revisit the chart’s highlighted resistance zone around $3.40-$3.50 if the historical fractal continues. A move from $1.54 to $3.45 would represent an advance of roughly 125%.
The bullish scenario would weaken substantially if XRP loses the long-term ascending support, particularly on a sustained two-week close below the $1.00-$1.10 region.
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See all Ripple forecastsMillion-Plus XRP Transfers Dominate Exchange Outflows
Large XRP transfers are taking a bigger share of exchange outflows on both Binance and Coinbase.
On Binance, transfers above 1 million XRP accounted for 60.8% of daily outflow value on Sept. 30, up from roughly 45% on Aug. 13. The 100K-1M XRP band fell to 23.4%, according to data resource CryptoQuant.
Coinbase showed a similar shift, with million-plus transfers rising to 48.7% of outflow value, up from about 30% on July 6. Its 100K-1M XRP share dropped to 37% by month-end.
This means bigger holders are accounting for a larger share of XRP leaving exchanges. Such withdrawals can indicate coins moving into private wallets, institutional custody, or longer-term storage, which may reduce the amount immediately available for selling.
