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Gold (XAUUSD), Silver, Platinum Forecasts – Gold Gains Some Ground Despite Strong Dollar

By: 
Vladimir Zernov
Gold, Silver, Platinum Forecasts

Key Points:

  • Gold moved higher as traders focused on falling Treasury yields.
  • Silver remained stuck below the $61.00 level.
  • Platinum continued its attempts to settle back above the $1700 level.

Gold Moves Higher As Treasury Yields Fall

Gold 011026 Daily Chart
Gold 011026 Daily Chart

Gold continues its attempts to rebound as traders focus on the pullback in Treasury yields.

The yield of 2-year Treasuries pulled back towards the 4.76% level as traders rushed to buy U.S. debt after massive pullback. FedWatch Tool indicates that the probability of a rate hike at the next meeting in October declined to 30.4%.

The yield of 10-year Treasuries declined towards the 4.80% level, while the yield of 30-year Treasuries settled near 5.60%. Falling Treasury yields served as a positive catalyst for gold markets today.

U.S. dollar rallied against a broad basket of currencies and tested yearly highs. It looks that short-sellers were forced to start closing their positions as the move was strong. At this point, gold markets did not react to dollar’s rally. However, strong dollar may present a problem for gold bulls in the upcoming trading sessions.

From the technical point of view, gold continues its attempts to settle above the support level at $4160 – $4180. If gold manages to settle above the $4180 level, it will head towards the next resistance, which is located in the $4300 – $4320 range. A move above the $4320 level will push gold towards the $4400 level.

On the support side, a move below $4160 will open the way to the test of the next support, which is located in the $4000 – $4020 range.

Silver Remains Stuck Near Support At $61.00 – $62.00

Silver 011026 Daily Chart
Silver 011026 Daily Chart

Silver managed to gain some ground despite strong dollar. Gold/silver ratio remained stuck below the 69.00 level, which was neutral for silver.

If silver settles below the support at $61.00 – $62.00, it will head towards the next support level, which is located in the $56.00 – $57.00 range. RSI is in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain downside momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

On the upside, a move above the $62.00 level will open the way to the test of the 50 MA at $63.97. If silver moves above the 50 MA, it will head towards the resistance level at $65.00 – $66.00.

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Platinum Tested The $1720 Level

Platinum 011026 Daily Chart
Platinum 011026 Daily Chart

Platinum made an attempt to settle back above the $1700 level as traders focused on falling Treasury yields. Palladium markets were down by -2.2%, which was bearish for platinum.

Interestingly, the strong rally in the oil markets did not put material pressure on platinum. Brent oil gained almost 5% amid worries about escalation in the Middle East.

In case platinum moves above the $1720 level, it will head towards the 50 MA at 1754. A move above the 50 MA will push platinum towards the resistance level at $1780 – $1800.

On the support side, platinum needs to settle below the $1700 level to have a chance to gain downside momentum in the near term. In this case, platinum will head towards the next support, which is located in the $1600 – $1620 range.

If you’d like to know more about how to trade gold and silver, please visit our educational area.

About the Author

Vladimir ZernovFutures Trading Expert

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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