March E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures broke hard late in the session on Friday when a wave of huge selling pressure hit the blue chip market
March E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures broke hard late in the session on Friday when a wave of huge selling pressure hit the blue chip market shortly before the close. The move was likely triggered by aggressive position-paring and profit-taking before the long-holiday week-end. Volume continued to remain well-below average, coming in more than 1 billion shares below its 50-day average.
The futures contract settled on Friday at 24735, down 62.00 or -0.25%.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing, however, momentum may have shifted to the downside with the formation of a potentially bearish closing price reversal top on Friday.
A trade through 24667 will indicate the presence of sellers. A move through 24886 will negate the closing price reversal top. Taking out 24896 will signal a resumption of the uptrend.
The main range is 24086 to 24896. If the selling pressure continues, we could see a break into its retracement zone at 24491 to 24395. Since the main trend is up, buyers are likely to show up on a test of this 50% to 61.8% zone. Therefore, we could see a technical bounce.
The next move in the March E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average will be determined by whether investors prefer to buy strength at current high levels, or play for a pullback into a value zone.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.