The US dollar has seen a little bit of strength against other currencies on Monday, but we continue to see more or less a range for most currency pairs at this point in time.
The Euro did try to rally a little bit in the early part of the session on Monday but then turned around to fall apart. All things being equal, this is a market that is staying in the same range it’s been in for a while between the 200-day EMA underneath and the 50-day EMA above.
And it is trying to figure out what to do next. All things being equal, I believe this is a market that will eventually try to take off in one direction or the other as we are in the middle of a large consolidation area between 1.1850 above and 1.14 on the bottom.
The British pound has been slightly positive during the trading session, but it still has a lot of resistance just above that could cause some problems, especially where we look at the 1.35 level through the prism of recent history where we have seen a lot of support and resistance. The 200-day EMA at the 1.34 level offers support. I think we continue to go back and forth in this 100-pip range.
The US dollar is slightly positive during the trading session early on Monday. The 160 yen level above will continue to be a problem as it’s an area that the Bank of Japan seems to want to defend, so we’ll watch that, but I do think we’re going to get there and test it.
Short-term pullbacks for me remain buying opportunities in this currency pair as the interest rate differential favors the US dollar so much. This should continue to be the way forward.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.