U.S. dollar is swinging between gains and losses while Treasury yields test new highs.
U.S. dollar is flat against a broad basket of currencies after the release of U.S. economic reports.
Manufacturing PMI increased from 46.9 in January to 47.8 in February, while Services PMI improved from 46.8 to 50.5. Numbers above 50 show expansion. Both reports exceeded analyst estimates. Meanwhile, Existing Home Sales report indicated that the housing market remained under significant pressure.
Treasury yields tested new highs, but this move did not provide sufficient support to the American currency.
EUR/USD remains stuck near the 50 EMA after PMI data. Euro Area Manufacturing PMI declined from 48.8 in January to 48.5 in February, while Euro Area Services PMI improved from 50.8 to 53.
Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index increased from 16.7 in January to 29.7 in February, compared to analyst consensus of 22.3. The reports showed that the European economy had a decent chance to avoid a recession. EUR/USD remained unchanged as traders were not ready to bet on a more aggressive ECB after the release of the better-than-expected economic data.
GBP/USD rallied as PMI reports exceeded analyst expectations. UK Manufacturing PMI improved from 47 to 49.2, while UK Services PMI grew from 48.7 to 53.3.
The surprisingly strong reports boosted chances for more aggressive moves from the BoE and provided material support to GBP/USD.
USD/CAD moved towards the 1.3500 level after the release of inflation data from Canada. Inflation Rate declined from 6.3% in January to 5.9% in February, compared to analyst consensus of 6.1%. Core Inflation Rate decreased from 5.4% to 5%. Inflation is slowing down so BoC would not have to raise rates at the next meeting, which is bearish for the Canadian currency.
USD/JPY continues its attempts to settle above the 135 level as traders focus on rising Treasury yields. Currently, the yield of 10-year Treasuries is trying to settle above the 3.95% level. In case this attempt is successful, it will move towards the psychologically important 4.00% level, which will be bullish for USD/JPY.
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Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.