The US dollar is starting to think about rallying on Wednesday, as interest rates remain high in the United States.
The euro initially rallied against the US dollar on Wednesday, but you can see has given back the gains and actually went a little bit negative. That’s not a huge surprise because, quite frankly, this is a market that just doesn’t seem to have any real momentum. The biggest problem, of course, is that interest rates in America remain pretty elevated, and with that being the case, I think you have to worry about whether or not this market can provide a nice trend to follow.
I think this drift lower makes a certain amount of sense, but the 1.14 level is a major floor. The 1.1850 level above is a major resistance barrier, but really, at this point in time, this is a pair that just is looking for some type of direction other than choppiness.
The US dollar has rallied quite nicely against the Swiss franc during trading on Wednesday, but it is now testing a major resistance barrier in the form of 0.80. With this, I suspect that we’re probably going to see this pair roll over a bit, perhaps offering a short-term selling opportunity. That being said, I wouldn’t look for much. If you are already long of this pair, if you’ve been watching here, it’s probably time to start tightening up stops or even consider taking profit.
The British pound has gone back and forth and now looks as if it is trying to take out the 200-day EMA. It also looks like it’s struggling a bit with that task. So, really, at this point, I don’t expect much here other than the possibility of a short-term drop. I don’t really like shorting the pound against the dollar. The interest rate differential helps the British pound slightly. It is a slight interest rate differential, so really, at this point, if you’re long of this pair, it might be time to start thinking about getting out
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.