Ahead of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Forex market was pretty resilient, not showing big signs of a potential risk off mode. It definitely changed once Russian tanks entered Ukrainian soil.
In the past few days, we are experiencing a classical flee to safe havens, like the Yen. In today’s analysis, we would like to discuss one of traders’ favorites, the GBPJPY.
Here, the sentiment is of course negative but we actually saw the first signs two weeks ago, when the price bounced off a crucial horizontal resistance on the 158 level (green). The bounce from that resistance helped create the head of the big Head and Shoulders pattern (yellow). That Head and Shoulders was actually the ultimate bearish signal that the price is currently following.
The initial drop after the neckline was broken was very sharp. Then we saw a small correction, which apparently came to an end as Friday brings us a drop again. Sentiment on GBPJPY is definitely negative with the target being the long-term horizontal support on the 149 mark (orange). It seems, that sooner or later the price should be able to get there.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
During his career, Tomasz has held over 400 webinars, live seminars and lectures across Poland. He is also an academic lecturer at Kozminski University. In his previous work, Tomasz initiated live trading programs, where he traded on real accounts, showing his transactions, providing signals and special webinars for his clients.