The recent price action suggests the direction of the June Comex gold market will be determined by trader reaction to $1746.90.
Gold futures are trading flat early Tuesday while trading inside last Thursday’s wide range for a third session. The price action suggests investor indecision and impending volatility. Gains are being capped by a stronger U.S. Dollar, while being underpinned by a dip in U.S. Treasury yields.
At 08:34 GMT, June Comex gold futures are trading $1740.20, down $0.20 or -0.01%.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $1676.20 will signal a resumption of the downtrend. The main trend will change to up on a move through $1817.60.
The minor trend is also down. A trade through $1756.00 will change the minor trend to up. This will also shift momentum to the upside. A trade through $1719.10 will signal a resumption of the minor trend.
The market is currently trading inside a major retracement zone at $1788.50 to $1711.90. This zone is controlling the longer-term direction of the market.
The short-term range is $1817.60 to $1676.20. Its retracement zone at $1746.90 to $1763.60 is resistance, but also a potential trigger point for an acceleration to the upside.
The recent price action suggests the direction of the June Comex gold market will be determined by trader reaction to $1746.90.
A sustained move under $1746.90 will indicate the presence of sellers. The first downside target is last week’s low at $1719.10, followed by the long-term Fibonacci level at $1711.90. This is a potential trigger point for an acceleration to the downside.
A sustained move over $1746.90 will signal the presence of buyers. This could trigger a quick surge into $1756.00 and $1763.60.
The rally could pick up some steam if buyers can overcome $1763.60. This would make $1788.50 the next key upside target. This is a potential trigger point for an acceleration to the upside.
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James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.