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Is Gold About to Enter Its Biggest Bull Run Since 2020?

By
Phil Carr
Updated: Aug 7, 2026, 12:44 GMT+00:00

August 2026 could ultimately be remembered not as the month traders should have been watching Gold, but as the moment they should have been buying it.

Gold and silver bullion, and bull

Gold has stormed back into the spotlight and its next move could leave late buyers chasing. On August 5, the yellow metal surged almost 7% – roughly $174 – to close near $4,308 an ounce, posting one of its biggest daily advances in recent history.

Gold trades around 4,364.685, staging a strong rebound from lows near 4,000.00 and pushing back toward the 4,400.00 level. Source: TradingView.

A weaker U.S dollar, falling Treasury yields, changing Federal Reserve expectations and renewed safe-haven demand all struck at once. The biggest Commodity rallies often begin when several forces converge before markets recognize the opportunity.

Technically, Gold is trading in its tightest structure since August 2025 – the period that preceded a 60% advance over the following five months. Buyers have regained control, but $4,400 is decisive.

“A confirmed break above $4,400 could force underexposed traders to chase the market,” says Lars Hansen, Head of Research at The Gold & Silver Club. “Once institutional momentum accelerates, attractive entry prices can disappear very quickly.”

China’s Buying Is Becoming Impossible to Ignore

China’s appetite for Gold has reached extraordinary proportions. In June alone, the country imported volumes comparable with the combined monthly production of the world’s ten largest Gold-producing nations. Annualized, that pace would equal roughly 64% of global mine supply.

This resembles strategic accumulation, not routine buying.

Beijing followed a similar pattern in Crude Oil after tensions escalated in Iran, using uncertainty to strengthen national reserves. Gold may now be serving the same purpose: protection against currency risk and financial fragmentation.

“The market should stop asking whether China is stockpiling,” Hansen says. “The real question is what Beijing sees coming that other traders have not yet priced in.”

Chinese Investors Are Running Towards Safety

China’s volatile Equity market is adding another demand engine. Policy shocks, trade restrictions and turbulence across technology shares have pushed households and institutions towards assets seen as more dependable.

Gold-backed ETFs have recorded 14 consecutive days of inflows, attracting approximately $1.2 billion. That followed outflows in 38 of the previous 44 sessions, signalling that sentiment has changed with exceptional speed.

When capital turns this aggressively, it rarely waits for perfect confirmation.

The Dollar’s 15-Year Support Is Cracking

The U.S Dollar Index appears to be breaking below a trendline that shaped its direction for more than 15 years. Co-ordinated U.S-Japan intervention to support the yen suggests policymakers may tolerate a weaker dollar.

That could become a major accelerant for Precious Metals.

“A sustained dollar decline would not be a short-lived event,” Hansen says. “Currency trends of this magnitude can fuel Gold and Silver bull markets for years.”

Central Banks Are Quietly Building Gold’s Next Launchpad

While many traders remain distracted by short-term volatility, central banks are sending a very different signal.

They purchased 289 tonnes of Gold in the second quarter, taking first-half acquisitions to 345 tonnes, while repeated buying around $4,000 suggests that level could be evolving into Gold’s next structural floor. History shows that powerful bull markets are often built on sustained accumulation before the wider market recognises what is unfolding.

“Major bull markets build higher floors, punish hesitation and reward traders positioned before the breakout becomes obvious,” says Lars Hansen, Head of Research at The Gold & Silver Club.

That, Hansen argues, is precisely the opportunity developing now.

Gold’s Next Move Could Be Explosive

Over the past 15 years, The Gold & Silver Club has built a reputation as one of the industry’s most accurate forecasters of major Gold price trends, a record well documented across leading financial publications and institutional research reports. The firm’s proprietary models have consistently pinpointed major turning points in both Gold and Silver – earning GSC recognition as a trusted authority among institutional investors and private wealth clients alike.

“The biggest fortunes in bull markets are rarely made by those waiting for the crowd,” Hansen says. “They are made by traders who recognize the shift early and are already positioned when the real acceleration begins.”

A decisive breakout above $4,400 could mark the beginning of Gold’s next major leg higher, potentially forcing momentum traders, institutional investors and billions of dollars of sidelined capital to chase the move.

That is where the urgency lies. If Gold breaks out, the window to accumulate Gold and Silver at today’s prices could close very quickly. By the time the headlines declare the next bull run has arrived, smart money may already be positioned and everyone else could be competing for exposure at substantially higher prices.

August 2026 could ultimately be remembered not as the month traders should have been watching Gold, but as the moment they should have been buying it.

The catalysts are aligning. Smart money is moving. The technical trigger is within striking distance. That’s welcoming news for the bulls, but painful for anyone sitting on the side lines, who must now decide how much FOMO they can handle.

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

About the Author

Phil Carrcontributor

Phil Carr is co-founder and the Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading, Research and Data-Intelligence firm.

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