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Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 Rise on Nvidia as Dow Jones Lags

By: 
Christopher Lewis

Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 gain after Nvidia earnings while Dow Jones lags, with 53,000, 7,600 and 7,800 marking key levels in the index outlook.

NASDAQ 100 Technical Analysis

Daily NASDAQ 100 chart at 29,473, bouncing above the 50-day EMA between 28,500 support and 30,000 resistance.
The NASDAQ 100 is pushing back toward the 30,000 level, holding above the 50-day EMA with 28,500 as the nearest support below. Source: TradingView.

The Nasdaq 100 rallied slightly during the early part of the trading session in premarket trading on Thursday, as it is mainly in reaction to Nvidia having a great earnings call, which, of course, is a major part of the market.

Ultimately, though, this is a market that still has to deal with a lot of external issues, such as interest rates, Kevin Warsh and his speech on Friday, the Strait of Hormuz, etc.

Ultimately, this is a market is one that, although it’s positive, there are plenty of things that could rattle it at the moment. Nonetheless, this looks like a positive shift in momentum.

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Dow Jones 30 Technical Analysis

Daily Dow 30 chart at 53,435, pulling back toward the 53,000 level and the 50-day EMA.
The Dow is retreating toward 53,000, where the 50-day EMA is rising to meet price, with the 52,000 level as deeper support below. Source: TradingView.

The Dow Jones 30 is negative early in the session, which is probably not a huge surprise, as money seems to be running over to Nvidia at the moment. The Nasdaq is favored over the Dow Jones 30 in that scenario, but the Dow Jones 30 seems to be more susceptible to geopolitics in general, as it is blue-chip multinationals.

And as long as there is an issue, for example, the trade war now flaring up between the United States and Canada again and the Strait of Hormuz being closed, some of these companies are going to be a little bit more exposed than others.

The 53,000 level underneath has been supported previously, and we have the 50-day EMA reaching toward it, so at this point, it does look like a potential area that might bring in some type of interest.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

Daily S&P 500 chart at 7,712, gapping higher above the prior consolidation range.
The S&P 500 has gapped above the 7,600 area, with the 50-day EMA rising toward that level and the 7,800 swing high as the next overhead target. Source: TradingView.

The S&P 500 gapped higher to kick off the session, has gone back and forth in premarket trading, and now just seems like it’s willing to hang out in this area. With so many of the major components in the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 crossing these days, it makes sense that it will move in the same manner as the Nasdaq 100.

NASDAQ 100 Price Forecast

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The 7,600 level underneath could be a bit of a floor, as it was previous resistance, and now the 50-day EMA is racing toward it.

The 7,800 level above is a potential target. It was a swing high, and if we start to see momentum, that’s probably where I will be aiming for. Ultimately, this is still a strong-looking chart, despite the fact that it’s been a little lackluster over the last couple of weeks.

If you’d like to know more about chart patterns and how to trade them, please visit our educational area.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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