U.S. Dollar Retreats As Inflation Rate Drops To 3.5%: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

U.S. Dollar Pulls Back As Inflation Rate Misses Estimates

U.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as traders react to CPI report. The report indicated that Inflation Rate decreased from 4.2% in May to 3.5% in June, compared to analyst forecast of +3.8%. Core Inflation Rate pulled back from 2.9% to 2.6%, while analysts expected that it would drop to 2.8%.

Lower-than-expected inflation data put material pressure on the American currency as traders reduced bets on hawkish Fed. However, the strong rally in the oil markets may raise prices again, so it remains to be seen whether the pullback in inflation is sustainable.

The nearest support level for U.S. Dollar Index is located in the 100.50 – 100.65 range. In case U.S. Dollar Index manages to settle below the 100.50 level, it will head towards the next support, which is located in the 99.75 – 99.90 range.

EUR/USD Tests Resistance At 1.1420 – 1.1435

EUR/USD moved higher as traders focused on U.S. inflation data. In the EU, traders had a chance to take a look at the Wholesale Prices report from Germany. The report indicated that Wholesale Prices declined by -0.7% month-over-month in June, compared to analyst forecast of +0.5%.

From the technical point of view, EUR/USD continues its attempts to settle above the resistance level at 1.1420 – 1.1435. In case EUR/USD climbs above the 1.1435 level, it will head towards the next resistance at 1.1500 – 1.1515. RSI remains in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

GBP/USD Moves Higher As Traders Reduce Bets On Hawkish Fed

GBP/USD gained ground, supported by U.S. CPI report. Traders bet that Fed will be less hawkish as inflation has started to calm down. Traders also focus on comments from Fed Chair Warsh. He said that CPI decline did not mean that Fed accomplished its mission.

In case GBP/USD pulls back below the 50 MA at 1.3376, it will head towards the nearest support level at 1.3335 – 1.3350. A successful test of of this level will open the way to the test of the next support at 1.3250 – 1.3265.

On the upside, GBP/USD needs to settle above the resistance at 1.3450 – 1.3465 to have a chance to gain additional upside momentum in the near term.

USD/CAD Tests New Lows

USD/CAD is losing ground as lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data provided material support to commodity markets. Other commodity-related currencies are also moving higher in today’s trading session.

USD/CAD settled below the previous support at 1.4125 – 1.4140 and is trying to settle below the 1.4050 level. In case this attempt is successful, it will head towards the next support at 1.4000 – 1.4025.

USD/JPY Moves Lower As Treasury Yields Fall

USD/JPY is losing some ground as traders focus on the pullback in Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries declined towards the 4.20% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries settled below 4.60%.

A move below the support level at 161.50 – 162.00 will push USD/JPY towards recent lows near the 160.50 level. It should be noted that USD/JPY failed to gain strong downside momentum as traders worried that rising oil prices will put pressure on Japan’s economy.

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