Analysis and Recommendations: The USD/CAD is trading flat at 0.9809 as strong retail sales supported the Looney, offset by a strong US GDP print. Q4 GDP
The USD/CAD is trading flat at 0.9809 as strong retail sales supported the Looney, offset by a strong US GDP print. Q4 GDP printed at 3.1% well above expectations at 2.8%. Canada retail sales in October climbed 0.7 percent from September to a record C$39.45 billion ($39.85 billion), thanks to higher sales at motor vehicle dealers and gas stations.
Talks in the US seem to have a wall as politicians have reverted to name calling and arguing. As the holiday approaches trading become thinner as traders cash in ahead of year end. Meanwhile, the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment aid rose last week, putting them back at the lower end of their pre-storm range and suggesting job growth remains moderate.
Investors were looking to book profit ahead of the holidays following a recent rally to two-month highs, while optimism over a resolution to the U.S. “fiscal cliff” of automatic tax hikes and spending cuts in 2013 also eased after the latest setback in U.S. fiscal talks.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 20, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 20 |
|
JPY |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
0.10% |
|
0.10% |
|
0.10% |
|
|
|
|
JPY |
|
|
BoJ Press Conference |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DKK |
|
|
Danish Retail Sales (YoY) |
-0.5% |
|
|
|
-1.8% |
||
|
|
HKD |
|
|
Hong Kong CPI (YoY) |
3.70% |
|
3.90% |
|
3.80% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Retail Sales (MoM) |
0.0% |
|
0.3% |
|
-0.7% |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Retail Sales (YoY) |
0.9% |
|
1.5% |
|
0.8% |
||
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Core Retail Sales (MoM) |
0.5% |
|
0.2% |
|
0.1% |
||
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Retail Sales (MoM) |
0.7% |
|
0.1% |
|
0.2% |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Initial Jobless Claims |
361K |
|
357K |
|
344K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
GDP (QoQ) |
3.1% |
|
2.8% |
|
2.7% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3225K |
|
3199K |
|
3213K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
|
4.87M |
|
4.79M |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index |
|
|
-3.0 |
|
-10.7 |
|
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 21 |
07:00 |
EUR |
5.9 |
5.9 |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-14.0B |
-20.8B |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
-0.2% |
1.8% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
0.3% |
-0.2% |
|
|
14:55 |
USD |
74.7 |
74.5 |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 21 16:30 Italy
Dec 26 01:30 Japan
Dec 27 10:10 Italy
Dec 28 10:10 Italy