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WTI and Brent Oil Forecast: Middle East Tensions Drive Volatility

By: 
Christopher Lewis

WTI and Brent crude oil gap higher as Middle East tensions return. Technical analysis highlights headline risk and Brent resistance near $95.

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

WTI crude oil daily chart at 86.35 trading above both EMAs with support at 70.00.
WTI trades at 86.35 above the 50 EMA at 82.78 and the 200 EMA at 79.64, with key support at 70.00 and resistance toward the 113.33 level. Source: TradingView.

The light sweet crude oil market has found itself positive again in early trading on Monday as we find the weekend had a couple of very quick, minor strikes via missile in the Persian Gulf, and therefore tension is back up. That’s probably not a huge surprise here, given the fact that it was only a matter of time.

Right now, the market seems to be very volatile, and I think it could very well remain that way as long as we’re in this situation where we’re literally moving on the latest headlines.

Overall, this is a market that I would not want to short because it only takes one headline. But that being said, going long isn’t necessarily the easiest thing at times either when we have the potential of a sudden overture for peace, which would turn the market right back around.

The market continues to be thrown around by the latest headlines. I don’t know if that ends anytime soon, unfortunately, and as a result, it’s a very difficult world to live in right now, and this will continue to be one of the most difficult markets to trade from what I can see.

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Brent Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Brent crude oil daily chart at 91.00 rallying above both EMAs and the 85.00 level.
Brent trades at 91.00 above the 50 EMA and the 85.00 breakout zone, with the 200 EMA rising near 84.51 and resistance at 100.00. Source: TradingView.

Brent markets, of course, aren’t going to be much different. They gapped higher to kick off the trading session. There is a certain amount of resistance near $95.

The question is, do we escalate from here? Does the situation get worse? And I think that’s what most people are sitting around waiting to find out.

And if that’s going to be the case, we’re literally out there waiting for some type of headline to come in and cause chaos.

With this, I think oil is a market that retail traders do not have an advantage in, because the news can hit like lightning. Caution is the better part of valor.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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