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Bitcoin and Stellar’s Lumen – Weekly Technical Analysis – January 11th, 2021

By:
Bob Mason
Updated: Jan 11, 2021, 12:24 UTC

It's a particularly bearish start to the week for the majors. Failure to move through the week's pivot levels would leave support levels in play.

Stellar coin trading chart for monitoring XLM values of stellar and buying crypto currency on the exchange. Copy space.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin, BTC to USD, rallied by 15.8% in the week ending 10th January. Following on from a 25.6% breakout from the previous week, Bitcoin ended the week at $38,200.

It was a bearish start to the week. Bitcoin fell to a Monday intraweek low $28,540.0 before making a move.

Steering clear of the first major support level at $27,594, Bitcoin surged to a Friday intraweek high and a new swing hi $41,969.0.

Bitcoin broke through the first major resistance level at $36,608 and the second major resistance level at $36,608 on the way to a new all-time high.

A bearish end to the week, however, saw Bitcoin fall back to end the week at sub-$39,000 levels. In spite of the pullback, however, Bitcoin avoided a fall back through the second major resistance level at $36,608.

4 days in the green that included an 8.17% rally on Wednesday and a 7.18% gain on Thursday delivered the upside.

For the week ahead

Bitcoin would need to move back through $36,236 pivot to support a run the first major resistance level at $43,933.

Support from the broader market would be needed for Bitcoin to break back through to $40,000 levels.

Barring an extended crypto rally, resistance at last week’s new swing hi $41,969 would likely cap any upside.

In the event of another breakout, Bitcoin could test resistance at $45,000 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $49,665.

Failure to move back through the $36,236 pivot would bring 23.6% FIB of $33,008 and the first major support level at $30,504 into play.

Barring another extended sell-off, however, Bitcoin should steer clear of sub-$30,000 support levels. The second major support level sits at $22,807.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down by 8.79% to $34,844.0. A bearish start to the week saw Bitcoin slide from an early Monday morning high $38,277.0 to a low $33,642.0.

Bitcoin left the major support and resistance levels untested at the start of the week.

BTCUSD 110121 Daily Chart

Stellar’s Lumen

Stellar’s Lumen surged by 108.3% in the week ending 10th January. Following a 5.77% decline from the week prior, Stellar’s Lumen ended the week at $0.2849.

It was a particularly bullish start to the week. Stellar’s Lumen surged from a Monday intraweek low $0.12852 to a Wednesday intraweek high and a swing hi $0.44.

The surge saw Stellar’s Lumen break through the week’s major resistance levels.

More significantly, Stellar’s Lumen also broke out from the 62% FIB of $0.1989 to form a near-term bullish trend.

A bearish second half of the week, however, saw Stellar’s Lumen slide back to end the week at $0.28 levels.

While avoiding the third major resistance level at $0.2016, Stellar’s Lumen fell through the 23.6% FIB of $0.3426.

The 38.2% FIB of $0.2823 limited the downside late in the week.

4-days in the green that included a 20.1% surge on Monday a 17.79% rally on Tuesday, and an 80.5% breakout on Wednesday delivered the upside.

For the week ahead

Stellar’s Lumen would need to move back through 38.2% FIB of $0.2823 and the pivot level at $0.2845 to support a run at the first major resistance level at $0.4404.

Support from the broader market would be needed, however, for Stellar’s Lumen to break back through to $0.40 levels.

Barring another extended crypto rally, the 23.6% FIB of $0.3426 would likely leave Stellar’s lumen short of the major resistance levels.

In the event of another breakout, Stellar’s Lumen could test resistance at $0.50 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $0.5960.

Failure to move back through 38.2% FIB and the $0.2845 pivot would bring 62% FIB of $0.1850 into play.

Barring an extended sell-off, however, Stellar’s Lumen should steer well clear of the first major support level at $0.1289

At the time of writing, Stellar’s Lumen was down by 12.55% to $0.2491. A mixed start to the week saw Stellar’s Lumen rise to an early Monday high $0.2856 before sliding to a low $0.2272.

While leaving the major support and resistance levels untested. Stellar’s Lumen fell through the 38.2% FIB of $0.2823.

XLMUSD 110121 Daily Chart

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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