It's another promising start to the day with the majors in positive territory early on, though we've been here before with investors unable to shake the bearish sentiment that has gripped the markets since the 3rd week of March.
Another slide for Bitcoin Cash on Sunday, left Bitcoin Cash down 5.98% to $642 by the day’s end, making it 7 consecutive days of decline, as investors continue to part ways with the Bitcoin Cash and the broader market, the total cryptomarket cap now down to $259.2bn, with Bitcoin Cash’s market cap sitting at just $11.3bn.
A positive start to the day on Sunday saw Bitcoin Cash break back into $700 levels, with an intraday high $700.8, but that was about it for the day, with the day’s high falling well short of the first major resistance level of $722 and 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $760.
The bearish trend that formed back at 21st March’s swing hi $1,084 continued through to the end of the weekend, with an intraday low $621 falling through the first major support level of $660.87 and 2nd support level of $637.6, before support led to a partial recovery to the day’s end $642.
That was a 34% slide for the week…
At the time of writing, Bitcoin Cash was up 2.66% to $660, with an early morning low $636.4 managing to avoid the day’s first major support level of $608.4, driving Bitcoin Cash to a morning high $667.6.
For the day ahead, the news wires will need to be particularly kind to support a run at the day’s first major resistance level of $688 that would bring the $700 levels into play, though for a move through to the day’s 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $730, there’s going to need to be something exceptional on the news front.
Failure to break through to $700 levels through the middle of the day would continue to support the prolonged bearish trend and bring the day’s first major support level and the possibility of sub-$600 levels into play towards the end of the day.
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Litecoin slipped 1.2% to end Sunday at $114.85, the second sub-$115 level close since before the mid-December rally.
An early morning intraday high $118.83 provided some early hope for Litecoin investors, but a broader sell-off across the market saw Litecoin fall short of the day’s first major resistance level of $123 and 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $124.9, sliding to a day low $110.01, falling through the day’s first major resistance level of $112.73.
There was plenty of support a $110 levels, with Litecoin bouncing back through the 2nd half of the day to $117 levels, before easing back to the day’s end $114.85, a 28% slide for the week, Monday’s open through to Sunday’s close.
Sentiment had improved through the early part of this morning, with Litecoin up 2.47% to $117.8, with a morning high $119.72 testing the day’s first major resistance level of $119.12 early, before a pullback to $117 levels.
For the day ahead, a move back through to $119 levels would support a run at the day’s 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $124.9, but for investors to become convinced of a shift in the extended bearish trend, a move through to the day’s 38.2% FIB Retracement Level of $134.57 will be needed, which may well be a step too far with the 2nd and 3rd resistance levels wedged in between the two retracement levels.
Litecoin will need to avoid a pull back to Friday’s $109.27 low to avoid the prospects of sub-$100, caution continuing to weigh on market sentiment in spite of this morning’s $119.12 high.
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Ripple’s XRP fell 3.95% to $0.48012 on Sunday, following Saturday’s 0.44% gain, to end the week down 24.3%, faring better than some of the majors.
A start of the day $0.50853 high was all that Ripple had to offer for existing investors, the day’s high falling short of the first major resistance level of $0.5186 and 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $0.5285 as a broad market sell-off led to Ripple’s XRP sliding to an intraday low $0.45292 by the middle of the day. The sell-off saw Ripple’s XRP fall through the first major support level of $0.4877 and 2nd support level of $0.4741 before support kicked in around the day’s 3rd support level of $0.4431.
A rebound in the 2nd half of the day eased the pain, with Ripple’s XRP testing resistance at the $0.50 psychological level before easing back to $0.48012 by the day’s end.
Sentiment had not improved too much through the early part of this morning, with Ripple’s XRP up just 0.01% to $0.48019.
An early morning $0.46709 low held above the day’s first major support level of $0.4525, with an early run at $0.50, falling short of the day’s first major resistance level of $0.5081 and 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $0.518, Ripple’s XRP hitting a morning high $0.4978.
For the day ahead, a move through to $0.50 levels would support a possible reversal of the extended bearish run, though Ripple’s XRP would need to break out to the day’s 38.2% FIB Retracement Level of $0.5583 to restore some confidence in Ripple’s XRP and broader market.
Failure to move through to $0.50 levels will likely bring the day’s first major support level into play and test investor nerves through the 2nd half of the day.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.