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Investors Lose Appetite for Beyond Meats After COVID-19 Eats Profits

By:
Tim Smith
Updated: Nov 10, 2020, 08:17 UTC

Beyond Meat shares tumbled more than 20% in Monday's extended-hours trading session after the alternative meats maker said the pandemic had eaten into earnings.

Beyond Meat plant based burger package of two patties

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Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND) shares added to Monday’s losses in extended-hour trading, plunging 22.44% after the plant-based meats company reported quarterly results that fell short of the mark as the pandemic crippled restaurant sales and consumers stockpiled less meat alternative products.

The company reported a Q3 loss of 28 cents a share, with the figure falling well short of analysts’ forecasts of a 5 cent per-share profit. Moreover, the bottom line declined from 6 cents a share in the year-ago quarter. Revenues of $94.4 million also came in below expectations but grew 2.7% on a year-over-year (YoY) basis. The substitute meat producer’s U.S. foodservice segment, which includes restaurants and corporate catering, weighed heavily on the top line, falling 11% as consumers opted to eat at home during the health crisis. However, sales growth of 40.5% in Beyond Meat’s grocery unit helped offset the decline.

“We experienced the full brunt and unpredictability of Covid-19 on our net revenues,” CEO Ethan Brown said in a statement accompanying the earnings call. “Unlike the second quarter, where record retail buying and freezer loading by consumers offset the deterioration of our food service business…the long tail of retail stockpiling by consumers, coupled with continued challenges across the majority of our food service customers, led to [third-quarter] results that were lower than we expected,” he added, per Barron’s.

Through Monday’s close, Beyond Meat stock has a market capitalization of $9.4 billion and trades up a whopping 107.49% on the year. Over the past three months alone, the shares have gained nearly 20%.

Wall Street View

In recent months, the company has copped a barrage of broker downgrades. Analysts have grown increasingly worried about rival players in the sizzling alternative meat space. Look for souring sentiment across the Street to continue after the disappointing Q3 earnings. Also, news that McDonald’s Corp (MCD) has launched a test of its own plant-based burger – the McPlant, could trigger additional re-ratings.

The stock currently receives 3 ‘Buy’ ratings, 1 ‘Overweight’ rating, 10 ‘Hold’ ratings, 2 ‘Underweight’ ratings, and 6 ‘Sell’ ratings. Price targets fluctuate from as high as $178 to as low as $55, with the median target pegged at $136. This represents a 16.5% premium to Monday’s extended hours closing quote at $116.73.

Technical Outlook and Trading Tactics

Since reaching a 52-week high in early October, the share price has retraced back below the 50-day SMA. On Tuesday’s expected weakness, active traders should pay close attention to the $121 level. This is where the stock finds a confluence of support from a multiyear horizontal trendline and the 200-day SMA. A price reversal in this area could trigger a return of bullish sentiment, leading to a retest of last month’s high at $197.50 or even a test of the all-time high (ATH) at $239.71.

About the Author

Tim Smithauthor

Tim brings over 20 years’ of experience working at some of Wall Street’s biggest investment banks, including Goldman Sacks, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley.

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