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Nasdaq 100: Buyers Defend 50-Day MA, US Stock Market Awaits Payrolls Data

By:
James Hyerczyk
Updated: Sep 3, 2025, 19:04 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Alphabet soared 8.1% after an antitrust win, sparking a rally in tech stocks and sending the Nasdaq sharply higher.
  • Soft July job openings data boosted odds of a Fed rate cut, with traders pricing in a 95.6% chance for September.
  • The Nasdaq bounced off 23,025 intraday, showing bulls are still defending key levels ahead of Friday’s NFP report.
Nasdaq 100 Index, S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones

Nasdaq Firms Above 50-Day as Traders Look to NFP for Confirmation

Daily E-mini Nasdaq 100 Index Futures

The Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures are trading slightly higher late in Tuesday’s session, last quoted around 23,350 with a gain of about 0.3%. The index dropped to an intraday low of 23,025.25 before bouncing sharply, with bulls once again stepping in to defend the 50-day moving average at 23,277. It’s the second test of this zone in less than a week, and for now, buyers are showing they’re not ready to give up that key support ahead of Friday’s jobs report.

What’s Behind the Resilience in Tech?

Alphabet surged 8.1% after a judge ruled the company could retain its Chrome browser while only being required to share data with competitors—a relief rally that sent the stock to all-time highs.

Daily Apple Inc

Apple followed, adding 2.6%, as the ruling also preserved Google’s payments to the iPhone maker. That lit a fire under the communication services sector, which jumped 3.1%, while broader tech rose 0.6%. But energy lagged, down 1.6% as crude pulled back. Bottom line: tech remains the place to be—for now.

Is the Fed Closer to a Rate Cut?

Job openings data came in light, and that was music to the market’s ears. July JOLTS showed a bigger-than-expected drop, fueling bets that the Fed could finally pivot.

Traders now see a 95.6% chance of a September cut, up from 92% before the data, according to CME’s FedWatch tool. That helped ease some recent pressure from rising Treasury yields, though the 30-year briefly tagged 5% before settling near 4.89%.

Where’s the Market Psychology Right Now?

We’re seeing a bit of push-pull here. Buyers are stepping in on weakness, especially around the 50-day, but there’s also some hesitation with big macro data looming.

Tuesday’s drop was likely part profit-taking, part caution ahead of Friday’s NFP release. The Nasdaq bounced sharply off 23,025 intraday—a sign dip buyers aren’t ready to back off just yet.

What’s Next for Traders to Watch?

All eyes are on Friday’s nonfarm payrolls. Powell flagged labor market softness as a key trigger for easing, so a weak print could seal the deal for a cut on September 17.

On the flip side, anything too hot could spook the bulls. Technically, Nasdaq bulls need to defend 23,277 to keep momentum intact. If that cracks, 22,775 is the next level on watch.

Bottom Line

Traders are leaning bullish—soft jobs data, a Fed that’s warming to cuts, and big-cap tech doing the heavy lifting. But September tends to be rough, and with yields still elevated and payrolls coming up, staying nimble matters. This market wants to rally, but it’s going to need the Fed to play along.

More Information in our Economic Calendar.

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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