NZD/USD is breaking the daily chart support trend line. The US Dollar is picking up steam and this is visible on the NZD/USD. How deep can the retracement go?
The NZD/USD is breaking the daily chart support trend line. The US Dollar is picking up steam and this is clearly visible on the NZD/USD. How deep can the retracement go?
The NZD/USD seems to have completed a 5 wave (orange) pattern. This could indicate the end of a wave A (purple / or wave 1) and the start of a bearish pullback. If price action is indeed building a wave B (purple / or wave 2), then a decline towards the Fibonacci retracement levels is likely.
The bearish channel offers a clear outline of the downtrend. A bounce at the 23.6% Fibonacci could occur but price is likely to continue within the bearish channel. Only a break above 0.56 and the 21 ema zone would make such a bearish scenario unlikely (red x).
Good trading,
Chris Svorcik
The analysis has been done with the indicators and template from the SWAT method (simple wave analysis and trading). For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up to our newsletter
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Chris Svorcik is co-founder, trader, and analyst with Elite CurrenSea (www.EliteCurrenSea.com) since 2014.