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Silver Price Forecast – Silver Testing Demand Zone as Rates Pressure

By: 
Christopher Lewis

The silver market finds itself on the back foot early on Thursday, as we are looking at rates continuing to climb overall. With the negative correlation in effect, the drop in price isn’t a surprise.

Silver Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart of Silver Futures on TradingView showing price testing 59.045, trading below its EMAs of 63.976 and 65.242.
Daily chart of Silver Futures (SI1!) on TradingView with price at 59.045 near the 55.000–60.000 support zone.

The silver market has been a bit negative in the early part of the trading session on Thursday, and we are breaking below the $60 level. This is the first sign of potential problems in this asset.

It is interesting to think that traders will continue to see this play out in the sense that rising interest rates in the United States continue to climb while pricing pressure in silver continues to drop. Keep in mind, this is a market that is very highly sensitive to interest rates and, by extension, the U.S. dollar.

Demand Zone Being Tested at the Moment

Between $60 and $55 levels, there is a massive amount of demand based on technical analysis. Silver has a massive amount of demand attached to it, but this is where I am watching for some type of bounce. We will see if that holds. Quite frankly, we need rates to drop to make that more likely than not.

Rates are rising for a whole plethora of things, not the least of which would be oil, which took off today on renewed Middle East fears. So it all connects from the Persian Gulf into the bond markets and now into the silver pits.

I am bullish on silver long term, but I need to see some life in this market before I start buying it. I certainly do not want to short into a major demand zone. This area is worth watching at the moment, but trading it remains a bit difficult without a little help from the bond markets.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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