U.S. Dollar Pulls Back As Oil Dives 4%: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

U.S. Dollar Moves Lower As Oil Pulls Back

U.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as traders focus on the pullback in the oil markets. WTI oil declined towards the $88.00 level as traders hoped that U.S. and Iran will get back to negotiations. Falling oil prices reduced demand for safe-haven assets, which was bearish for the American currency.

Today, traders also focused on PMI reports. Manufacturing PMI declined from 53.9 in June to 53.8 in July, compared to analyst forecast of 54.3. Services PMI improved from 51.2 to 53.6, compared to analyst consensus of 51.5. Numbers above 50 show expansion.

EUR/USD Gains Gound As Euro Area PMI Reports Exceed Estimates

EUR/USD attempts to rebound as traders focus on better-than-expected PMI data from the EU. Euro Area Manufacturing PMI increased from 51.4 in June to 52.0 in July, compared to analyst forecast of 51.5. Euro Area Services PMI improved from 49.4 to 51.6, compared to analyst consensus of 49.8.

The nearest support level for EUR/USD is located in the 1.1350 – 1.1365 range. In case EUR/USD manages to settle below the 1.1350 level, it will head towards the next support level at 1.1270 – 1.1285.

GBP/USD Gains Ground As UK Retail Sales Beat Estimates

GBP/USD is moving higher as UK Manufacturing PMI and UK Services PMI exceeded analyst estimates. Falling oil prices provided additional support to the British pound.  Better-than-expected Retail Sales report served as an additional positive catalyst for GBP/USD. The report indicated that Retail Sales increased by +1% month-over-month in June.

Currently, GBP/USD is trying to settle back above the resistance level at 1.3335 – 1.3350. In case GBP/USD manages to settle above the 1.3335 level, it will head towards the 50 MA at 1.3414. A move above the 50 MA will open the way to the test of the resistance level at 1.3450 – 1.3465. RSI is in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

USD/CAD Is Mostly Flat As Traders Focus On Commodity Markets

USD/CAD is mostly flat despite the rebound in precious metals markets. Other commodity-related currencies are moving higher in today’s trading session.

In case USD/CAD pulls back below the 50 MA at 1.4061, it will head towards the support level at 1.4010 – 1.4025.

On the upside, USD/CAD needs to settle above the resistance level at 1.4125 – 1.4140 to have a chance to gain upside momentum in the near term. A move above the 1.4140 level will push USD/CAD towards the next resistance level at 1.4235 – 1.4250.

USD/JPY Tests Resistance At 163.50 – 164.00

USD/JPY remains stuck near the 164.00 level as traders react to inflation data from Japan. Inflation Rate increased from 1.5% in May to 1.7% in June, in line with analyst consensus. Core inflation Rate increased from 1.4% to 1.6%. The report has also met analyst estimates.

From the technical point of view, USD/JPY attempts to settle above the resistance level at 163.50 – 164.00. In case USD/JPY manages to settle above the 164.00 level, it will head towards the psychologically important 165.00 level. These levels have not been tested since 1986. RSI is in the overbought territory, but there is some room to gain additional momentum in the near term.

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