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Crude Oil Price Forecast – Crude Oil Bounces Early on Thursday

By: 
Christopher Lewis

The crude oil markets continue to see a lot of outside interference in the form of press releases from both Tehran and DC.

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

TradingView daily candlestick chart of WTI Crude Oil trading around 92.26, bouncing above the 50-day EMA at 89.74 and support at 90.00.
Daily candlestick chart of WTI Crude Oil showing price testing support around the 50-day EMA near 89.74.

The light sweet crude oil market has rallied just a touch in early trading on Thursday, bouncing from the $90 level as we continue to hang about and try to figure out where we are going next. After all, this is unfortunately a market that is going to be driven by the latest headlines.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

Every new Brent Oil analysis as it publishes, today's technical signal and key levels, live price — on one page.

See all Brent Oil forecasts

The latest headlines at this point in time are being driven by the latest comments coming out of either Tehran or Washington, D.C. With that being the case, and with the uptrend line being tested and bouncing from there, it suggests that we are perhaps just going to at least hang out in this consolidation channel. We will have to wait and see.

I certainly am not bearish on oil right now, and being at the 50-day EMA, as well as the $90 level, there is a technical reason to get interested here.

Brent Technical Analysis

TradingView daily candlestick chart of Brent Crude Oil trading near 100.60, bouncing off support at 95.00 and above the 50-day EMA at 96.17.
Daily price chart of Brent Crude Oil showing price rebounding above the 95.00 support level and the 50-day EMA.

The Brent markets look pretty much identical. We have bounced from the 50-day EMA and the $95 level. It now looks like we have an eye on that gap. We will have to wait and see.

Ultimately, rising rates suggest that people are still worried about energy inflation, and with that, we will have to see whether or not short-term dips get bought into. It certainly looks like $95, at the moment, is a bit of support.

Unfortunately, this is the type of market that is very difficult to trade, as traders make decisions based on the latest freakout. The latest freakout can come at any given time. The situation in the Middle East—they are talking. That is a good sign, but whether or not they will actually come to some type of conclusion remains to be seen.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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