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Ethereum Price Forecast: Volatility ahead as ETH 2.0 Withdrawals Spike 4,000%

By:
Ibrahim Ajibade
Updated: May 17, 2024, 13:53 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Ethereum price prodded above $3,040 on Friday May 17, up 6% from the 14-day low of $2,862 recorded on May 14
  • The latest CPI data release and resurgent Gamestop rally have emerged major catalysts stimulating bullish activity across the crypto market this week.
  • The number ETH node validators queueing up to make withdrawals has spiked 4,000% within the last 3 days, raising concerns of imminent bearish pressure.
Ethereum (ETH) price forecast

In this article:

Ethereum price prodded above $3,040 on Friday May 17, up 6% from the 14-day low of $2,862 recorded on May 14, but spikes in ETH 2.0 staking withdrawals threatens to impede the rebound phase. 

Ethereum price surge lagging behind the Crypto market average

ETH failed to pull its fair share of capital inflows as bullish momentum returned to the crypto markets this week.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics latest CPI data release on May 14 and the resurgent Gamestop rally have emerged major catalysts stimulating bullish activity across the crypto markets this week.

Led by mega-cap assets like BTC (+9%), SOL (+22%) and PEPE (+70%) the total crypto market capitalization has increased by $194 billon since the start of the week of May 13.

Ethereum ETH Price Action vs. Crypto Market TOTAL Cap
Ethereum ETH Price Action vs. Crypto Market TOTAL Cap

At the time of writing on May 17, Ethereum price is currently hovering around the $3,042 territory, up 6% from May 13. Evidently, in comparison to the  trends observed in rival mega-cap Layer-1 assets like Bitcoin and Solana, Ethereum price has underperformed considerably.

ETH 2.0 Withdrawal Queue Spikes 4,000% in 5-days

Ethereum’s laggard performance is well illustrated in the TradingView chart above. However, on-chain staking data from the ETH 2.0 beacon chain reveals even more worrying signals that could spark intense volatility in Ethereum price action the days head.

The Validator Queue chart below provides real-time insights in the number of investors seeking to join the ETH 2.0 staking pool versus those seeking to withdraw their funds.

Ethereum records 4,000% Spike in ETH 2.0 Withdrawal Queue
Ethereum records 4,000% Spike in ETH 2.0 Withdrawal Queue

At the start of the week, only 93 stakers moved to withdraw their staked ETH from the beacon chain May 14. But that figure has now skyrocketed to 3,868 addresss  at the time of writing on May 17.

This implies that the number ETH node validators queueing up to make withdrawals has spiked 4,000% within the last 3 days, raising concerns of imminent bearish pressure. Meanwhile, over the past week, the ETH 2.0 deposit queue has nosedived 97% from 1,842 to 61 entry addresses.

The combination of increased withdrawals and decreased deposits creates a dual-catalyst of downward of pressure on the Ethereum price, partly explaining why ETH price has failed to catch up to the broader market uptrend this week.

On one hand, the rapid rise in withdrawals adds to the circulating supply of ETH, potentially flooding the market. On the other hand, the sharp drop in new deposits signals a decrease in long-term confidence among investors.

These critical factors could combine to exacerbate bearish trends, leading to heightened market volatility and sustained downward pressure Ethereum prices.

ETH Price Forecast: Another Reversal below $2,900?

Ethereum price is currently around $3,040 mark at the time of publication on May 17. However, as traders begin to react to the 4,000% spike in ETH 2.0 staking withdrawals, Ethereum price will likely below $2,900 in the near-term.

The Bollinger band technical indicator also support this pessimistic ETH price forecast.

Ethereum ETH Price Forecast
Ethereum ETH Price Forecast

As seen below, the upper-limit Bollinger Band indicator shows ETH price is still some distance away from reclaiming critical resistance level at $3,200, which would put bulls in control of the market momentum.

But if ETH price tumbles below the short-term support at the 20-day SMA price level at at $3,023, it could open the doors to rapid bearish reversal towards $2,825.

 

 

 

About the Author

Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is a seasoned research analyst with a background in Commercial Banking and Web3 startups, specializing in DeFi and TradFi analysis. He holds a B.A. in Economics and is pursuing an MSc in Blockchain.

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