The gold market rallied a bit early on Tuesday, but is still seeing a bit of downward pressure after short-term rallies.
The gold market rallied a bit during the early part of the trading session here on Tuesday as the $4,000 level continues to attract a certain amount of attention and headlines. The $4,000 level makes for good news, but really at this point, it is market memory that I think most traders are counting on here. If the market were to break down below the $3,900 level, it could signify that the support level has been broken.
Right now, it looks like we’re happy to just bounce along in this area after recently forming the so-called death cross when the 50-day EMA breaks down below the 200-day EMA. It’s a very bearish long-term technical signal that, quite frankly, I don’t put too much into, but it is something that causes some headlines.
Interest rates being as high as they are in the United States continue to work against the value of gold, and that hasn’t changed. In fact, interest rates are slightly higher as I record this, and that continues to be a major problem. It’s a non-yielding asset, so a lot of money managers are going to feel more comfortable just simply collecting interest sitting on cash, which is essentially what the bond market is.
We have been in a tight range for a while between $4,000 and $4,200. Nothing’s changed here, despite the fact that we did rally a bit early in the day. Until we get some type of settling of the situation in the Middle East, a lot of markets, including the bond market and, by extension, the gold market, may struggle to make serious moves.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.